StockDoubling.com Blog

DFNS 10k report

2009-04-06T09:32:00.001-04:00

DFNS came out with there earnings last week. And they weren't late! Which was a surprise!

Here is the link to view the 10k

http://yahoo.brand.edgar-online.com/displayfilinginfo.aspx?FilingID=6516523-914-325248&type=sect&TabIndex=2&companyid=74601&ppu=%252fdefault.aspx%253fcik%253d1069563

sales for Q4 were very good. They did $18+ million for the year which isn't much less then they did all last year.

They announced a new night vision product partnership which seems interesting. They of course did the buy out of company they co-owned at the end of the year and bought back 1 million shares of stock.

So now there is about 28 million shares outstanding. Of which the CEO owns about 19 million shares. He is 62 and maybe will want to retire in the future. Maybe a buyout possible in the next couple of years?

They still have a good amount of cash and a nice backlog of orders.

The problems are a couple fold.....
1. They are earning money but not much about .02 eps for the year (not including one time payments) Well at 10x PE that is .20 stock which is about where we are now. Even if they double it for 2009 not saying they will but if they did that is still a .40 stock which isn't bad return but that is if all things go right.

2. They have a $2.6 million lawsuit against them. Now they may win the lawsuit so they won't have to pay out the money. (If they lost it that is a MASSIVE hit to there cash) But even if they don't lose they will be paying some legal fees for fighting the lawsuit which is going to eat into profits that are already small.

The float is small (a few million shares) So if the stock rallied for any reason over.30 I would consider selling. I sold my stock that I bought a month ago at .18 and sold it at .21 last week for a 16% profit. The only stock I currently own of DFNS is for the stock doubling project.

I think at this point DFNS is more of a trading stock then a buy and hold stock. If DFNS came back to the mid teens or low teens I would consider purchasing. For a rally to low .20's. If DFNS gets above .30+ I will consider selling DFNS for the stock doubling project and moving on with a new stock.

Have a great day
Steve

P.S if interested in a great trading system check out http://www.tradelikethis.com/

DFNS news and TATTF

2009-03-13T11:04:00.000-04:00

TATTF came out with a bunch of news lately.
1. Buying back some of there stock great news.
2. Came out with earnings which were ok.
3. Came out with book value and cash which is amazing!!
4. Came out with a dividend announcement which is like getting 10%+ return on your money in a couple of weeks! Very nice return.

I bought a couple of weeks ago at $4.30’s. It came down but its still a great buy under $5 if you are willing to hold it for a while.

I just bought DFNS this morning at .18 (5000 shares) they will be coming out with earnings at the end of the month more than likely not sure how good they will be but looking forward to what they say for the future.

DFNS NEWS AND OTHER STUFF

2009-01-20T09:53:00.002-05:00

I sold out of all my DFNS that ISN'T AFFILIATED with the StockDoubling project. So I still own 8000 shares of DFNS but I don't own additional shares. I had purchased DFNS in the .155-.19 range over the last couple of months.

I sold all that stock in the .20-.25 range over the last couple weeks. It was too good of profits to turn down. Some of it was 30% return in a month or two. I still like DFNS and will hold the orginal position. I don't think it will get to .50 any time soon but I would LOVE to see it back in the teens again so I could load up on it. Currently .22-.26 per share.

They came out with some great news over the last month. From a buyback and now they have bought out a minority interest in a company they had majority interest in. And they seemed to pay a fair amount for it. They also bought back 1 million shares as part of that deal which a 3% outstanding shares. (About 10% of the float if you assume the CEO won't sell his shares)

I may not be able to get back in the teens but trading DFNS has been pretty good for me. The orginal buy of course hasn't. When I get out of this position I don't know.

With Israel at war with Hamas right now (cease fire) how that effected DFNS I don't know. You would think sales would be strong of course the issue is did they sell there products at a profit. They seem to be using the $$$ they got from the gov't in a good way. I think if they can continue to make money even if its a couple cents per year I think these prices could double over the next couple of years. Downside is limited but do you want to wait it out that is the deal of course.

IF DFNS comes down to the teens I will buy more. If it goes to the .40's I would probably consider selling my StockDoubling pick stock.

On to other stocks I have talked about.
ITRA got bought out at $4 so that was a nice return for those of your who purchased in the $3's. I made a couple % on the stock. I didn't hold until the end though.

TATTF is another ISRAEL stock that I really like. They have a good amount of cash and still make some good money. They also own a great deal of LIMC and the company is buying back stock. I think eventually it will probably go private but that is just opionon.
I own the stock from a higher price. I will buy more for a trade if it gets back into the mid $4's. Right now its around $5.

If you haven't checked out the videos at

www.Videos4Traders.com yet you really need to I love the Market Wizards Insights one its great and you should check it out. Its FREE!

HAVE A GREAT WEEK.
Steve

DFNS AND TATTF NEWS

2008-12-05T11:01:00.004-05:00

Long time no talk.

DFNS came out with their Q3 earnings in Mid Nov. The sales #'s were good though the earnings not as good as I would like to see. Though still profitable overall.

The company has about $8 million in cash and trading securities/bank deposit. Which is about .27 per share. The company is currently trading at .16-.19 per share. The book value is around .44

The company also announced a buyback of the stock up to $450,000. It doesn't mean they will buy back any stock but at least they announced it. IF they did buy back $450,000 worth of shares at an average price of .25 that would be 1.8 million shares they take out of the public. Which is about 6% of the total outstanding shares. However there is only about 10 million shares that aren't owned by insiders so that would really be taking out close to 18% of the public float.
Hopefully they start the buyback soon at these levels.

With the economy and the stock market the way they are things could go down more. However for a person willing to hold I think buying on at these prices are a steal at some point down the road. Its like going to the bank and depositing $1 and the bank giving you $1.40 or so into your account. You can't cash it out yet but its sitting there. Same thing with DFNS they have a lot of cash on hand and a profitable business and you can buy the shares for LESS then the amount of money they have in the bank.

We may have tax loss selling going into the end of the year as tends to happen with DFNS and DFNS tends to have a good Jan. You can look at the chart and see the pattern over the last few years.

NO I don't think DFNS will get to .50 anytime soon. But for 2009 I think we will go up a bunch from these current prices.

On to TATTF another stock I own.

They are buying back stock as well very slowly though. TATTF is down in the low/mid $4's they came out with earnings in NOV. which were less than I had hoped for sure however they have a book value over $10 per share and a good amount of cash. They have already earned .50+ EPS for the first 9 months so they are good deal as well.

With the markets both of these stocks I don't expect them to TAKE OFF. However if you are a long term holder these companies both have PROFITABLE business, lots of cash, are selling at a discount. So we will see they go up in price in the future I feel. When I don't know.

On a final note.
If you are interested in Forex trading. You need to check out Fap Turbo
I am doing a review site of the product and it is going pretty well. You can check out the review site at Fap Turbo

DFNS NEWS IS GREAT!

2008-10-30T14:58:00.000-04:00

Wow they really listened!!

DFNS came out with a buyback! YES YES YES! Wish it was a little bigger but hey I will take it.

http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/081030/20081030005833.html

$450k buyback if they got all the shares at .30 that is 1.5 million shares bought back.

I don't think they will buy them all back. But I think the bottom is now in. Even if the company comes out with a bad quarter with the buyback in place that is potential 1.5-2 million shares being bought back at lower prices.

Glad I was able to pick some up at .18!

Hopefully that is a good sign for Q3 #'s as well. Q3 earnings should be out by Nov. 14th!

enjoy!

Steve

Lots of Updates.....

2008-10-22T06:58:00.003-04:00

Its been a while since I had a stock update. I have been busy with the beforeitmoves project.

A few updates.....

1. I bought some additional TATTF on October 10th for a swing trade. (Meaning I didn't want to hold it long just looking for quick gain.) I bought at $4.90 on a Friday. And Sold it on Monday October 13th for $6! A 22% profit in about 3 hours of trading. (I held it over the weekend. But bought it just before the close on Friday and sold it Monday morning) If you were on my Beforeitmoves.com yahoo list you could have made that as well. One member did better then me he made 29% on that trade.
I still hold some TATTF at a higher price and still feel it is undervalued. However with current market conditions their is always risk.

2. I also bought additional shares of DFNS (which is our stockdoubling project pick currently) These shares that I bought are NOT for the project but strictly for my own account. I bought the additional shares on October 10 and 13th for .18 per share. My goal with these shares is to sell them at a 30-60% profit once the Q3 earnings come out which will be by Nov. 15th more than likely. So these shares aren't for long term holding but for a month or so. Hopefully Q3 will be an earning surprise and the stock will move higher. I still hold the shares for the stockdoubling project in DFNS 8000 shares and am not sure when I will get out of those yet.

3. Another interesting stock I thought I would let you know about is ITRA. It recently announced it was being bought out for $4 per share. However as of yesterday you could still buy the stock for about $3.70 per share. The $4 share price will close in Dec/Jan. But if you could buy at $3.70 and get the buyout at $4. That is a .30 per share gain. Which is 8% return in about 3 months or over 30% annualized return. Not a bad return at all better than putting your money in CD's at 3%. Just a thought. Of course the shareholders could turn down the buyout offer (Not likely) but the company has a decent business it would recover some if that did happen. I DO NOT OWN THAT STOCK. AND DON'T RECOMMEND IT. IF YOU DO BUY IT MAKE SURE YOU CAN STAY IN IT FOR THE ENTIRE PROCESS 2-3 MONTHS!

4. I have been doing a lot of research for the StockDoubling Project #2 pick. Which will ONLY be sent to those MEMBERS of BeforeItMoves.com I have narrowed the stocks down from 600+ stocks I orginally looked at to 10 currently. I will continue to research and knock out stocks in the coming days. However I may want to jump on this one soon in case it is ready to really move higher.
So if you aren't a member of BeforeitMoves.com get the 5 day trial today and get setup before we start we this pick.

I wish you ever success in trading.
Steve Hoven
New email address steve @ stockdoubling.com (take away the spaces)

BeforeItMoves is back!

2008-10-15T11:26:00.002-04:00

BeforeItMoves is Back!

We are back on the market via clickbank.

http://www.BeforeItMoves.com Just $4.95 for the first 5 days and get complete access to ALL our content.

19 videos teaching you how to find stocks that are ready to move.

One client made 30% within 3 trading hours with our information! Which paid for the year in 1 trade.

I show you how you can open an account for as little as $100 and start trading!

And the big news is our StockDoubling Project # 2 pick is just around the corner.I will be releasing this pick to beforeitmoves members ONLY between October 24th-31st.

My first pick for the StockDoubling Project # 1. Doubled in price in 4 months!

http://www.BeforeItMoves.com

I will be limiting the membership and not sure how long this offer will be available. So if you are interested their is still time to get your account open prior to the StockDoubling Project # 2 pick!

Have a great trading day

See you inside

Steve Hoven

http://www.BeforeItMoves.com

BeforeItMoves Stock Trading System

2008-10-09T09:44:00.002-04:00

I am releasing the updated version of the BeforeitMoves Stock Trading System.

It is FREE and 19 videos over 3 hours in total length.

You can get it FREE when you join the monthly $20 a month program.

You will get the StockDoubling Project # 2 pick late in October along with all the "Other Picks" and additional picks from me.

You get a FREE 5 day trial to test it out.

Only for a limited time at

http://www.BeforeItMoves.com

Have a profitable day
Steve

Danger Most Traders Make

2008-10-08T09:24:00.002-04:00

Watch this 11 minute video and see the problem most traders make.

Talk to you tomorrow with some BIG NEWS!

Turn $500 into $1 million faster than you think.

2008-10-07T09:59:00.001-04:00

Turn $500 into $1 million faster than you think.

Talk to you tomorrow.

Steve

Companies with Cash

2008-10-04T07:57:00.002-04:00

I will be releasing my Before It Moves package on Thursday At 10am. It will be 19 videos in all just over 3 total hours of videos on how I find stocks for the stock doubling project and my personal account. You won't want to miss it.
This will also be the ONLY place to get my picks for the StockDoubling # 2 project. Which first pick will happen in late October 2008.

Between now and Thursday though I want to give you some free content to help you in your trading.

This first video deals with finding companies that have a good cash position. With the credit issues currently going on. (banks not willing to lend as they once did etc..)
It may be wise to find companies/stocks that have a good amount of cash on their books. They can self fund themselves for a while and continue to grow thru spending their own money. They won't need to borrow or issues shares (diluting the stock).

In this follow 7 minute video I show you a good way to find those type of stocks and do that quick research.

You can also sign up for our Early Bird list. And get special announcements on the Launch of the program plus be first in line.
And the best part the program will cost you NOTHING up front!

Have a great weekend
Steve

P.S Feel free to leave any comments on the blog.

TATTF Marketclub BUY signal

2008-09-24T10:48:00.002-04:00

Here is a video to check out.

ON TATTF which is a stock I own. (Not for the project but just in general) I have spoke on it a few times. My average entry was $7.13 back in Mid June. Anyway Marketclub just went long via their trade triangles on it. Which means one of 2 things. We are at the beginning of a BIG run up. Or within 2-3 weeks it will get knocked out quickly with a loss.

Marketclub tends to either win BIG. Or lose QUICK. So keep an eye on TATTF if it goes to $9+ we should see a nice run continue. If it just sticks in the low $8's and $7's it is a false breakout. Some nice things though it has moved up nicely in the last month even though the markets overall have been down. The company is also buying back a bunch of shares of their own stock as they feel its undervalued. They do have a decent amount of cash so as far dealing with the credit issues they shouldn't have a problem funding themselves.

I will probably watch it for these next couple weeks see what happens. My entry was $7.13 so I have some wiggle room at these current prices (over $8). I think $10 is a closer to fair price for the stock.

Here is the video on tattf and my thoughts......

Also Scottrade is currently offering a special if you open an account with them. ($500 minimum) they will give you 7 FREE trades. That is $49 value. (normally they give you 3) This offer is good thru the end of OCTOBER.
To get the offer sign up at www.Scottrade.com and use the referral code SVZP9077

And finally I will be releasing my project within 2 weeks Lord Willing. It will be roughly 20 videos and content of what/how I find stocks to buy for the stockdoubling project and for my own trading. And the videos will be FREE!! I will post more on it in the near future.

Have a great trading day
Steve

TATTF News

2008-09-08T17:48:00.002-04:00

TATTF a stock I own. (Not for the stockdoubling project) came out with news today.

http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/080908/ny32360.html?.v=1

They authorized a buyback of shares of about $7 million which is about 1 million shares based on these current prices.
The stock closed up 8% today to $6.88.

It has come up nicely after bottoming a couple months ago. My entry was above $7 so I am still underwater but this is some nice news.

I don't think they will buy back that many shares but the company is at least showing some interest in the stockholders by saying the share price is undervalued.

I WISH DFNS WOULD SAY THEY ARE BUYING BACK STOCK IT WOULD SHOW THAT THEY FEEL THEIR STOCK IS UNDERVALUED.

Anyway I think TATTF is still a $8-$10 stock somewhere down the road. They are making money and with their investment in the new company they seem to be making some money as well.

I think it can run higher than $10 it is a company with only 6.6 million shares. Just depends on the buyers/sellers. But as far as risk I think they should do at least .80 for the year and at 10x PE that is a $8 stock not including any cash they have etc...

I should have some BIG news coming later this month!!

Have a great day
Steve

DFNS AND TATTF REPORTS

2008-08-19T07:02:00.003-04:00

DFNS came out with their 10Q report on friday...

A few things.....

1. It looks like they lost some of the backlog orders with the Israel Defense Ministry which is bad news. They did get an additional $1.6 million order it looks like though.

2. They said that the IDM orders should remain steady so I would figure $1.2-$1.6 million each quarter for the next couple quarters.

3. Local civilian and Export Military were both up a good deal which helped.

4. They aren't making money on their existing business. The reason they had a profit was due to a payment from the Israel gov't for leaving a couple years back.

5. in 2006 and prior basically this was a company that did $10 million a year and EPS was anywhere from (.03) to .01. Are we going back to that type of stock and was 2007 just a fluke?

6. 2008 will be more than $10 million but FAR less than last years $19 million. Probably in the $14+ million range I would guess.

7. I don't understand why they would take a $250k loan when they got the cash. I know the cash didn't come until later but $250k shouldn't need that and then they got another one they didn't utlize. And why post a NT 10Q and than a few hours later post the 10Q?

8. Personally I think its run like a mom and pop type deal. The CEO owns most of the shares so he controls everything and don't really care that much about the other 30% or so. If they did why not announce the $1.6 million IDM order?

9. Its a nice book value but they aren't doing enough to MAKE $$$ and not telling their story to anyone to get the share price up.

10. "Since January 2008, we have experienced an increased demand for armored vehicles, from central and south African countries. We believe that the armor car business is growing and will become even more significant for us by the end of 2008. The armor car business is characterized by higher gross margins than our traditional military products. " (PAGE 13)
So Maybe that will mean a couple million in revenue from that this year.

11. an $1.7 million increase in inventories in order to support future sales, new product lines and also reflects the production of a significant amount of finished and semi finished products that were delivered at the beginning of the third quarter," (PAGE 18)
So maybe we will get an UPWARD suprise for Q3?

DFNS didn't trade much on Monday. From this report I don't see any RUSH to buy the stock at these levels. I think it could pop to the .40's but ONLY if they announce some news. And the company don't seem to want to do much of that.
It could fade to the lower .20's and maybe even teens I don't know. At these point they have still lost .01 for the year based on continued operations and their margins haven't improved so I don't know that they will breakeven or earn a penny or two for the year but not much more.

Part of me wants to just dump it and be done with it. If the book value wasn't in the low .40's I probably would. But since the book is over .40 I am not going to dump it in the low .20's. They also have a decent amount of cash for a company this size just depends on what they do with it.

Its always up to you what you want to do with it. At this point I am staying with it, disappointed yes but going to stick it out for a while yet.

Next earnings release won't be until mid November. So unless the company comes out with additional news you won't hear from them for about 3 months.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TATTF came out with their report as well.

They don't have a 10Q I guess cause they are an Israel company so they only come out with revenue earnings etc..
They made a little more revenue but not as much profit.
Still they have .44 for the year so far and I think .80 isn't out of the question.
At 10x P/E its an $8 stock.

I wish they put in their stockholder equity as I think its close to $10 but I am not sure.

TATTF went up after the intital report and went down Monday. I think its a $8-$10 stock in the next few months.

Steve

DFNS NEWS

2008-08-15T10:39:00.000-04:00

DFNS is delaying their 10Q.

But they did report they did $4,477,086 in revenue

And $195,000 in net income.

The one thing that worries me a little is.... Does that $195k INCLUDE
any payments from the Israel gov't for moving their operations out of
gaza strip. If this is included than OUCH.

If not and those #'s are only based on continued operations than we are
at breakeven earnings for the year.

Not a great quarter by any means on earnings side. .01 is a little
misleading as it is really about .0067 EPS they just round it up to
.01.

book value may have gone up a little bit but it is all about the
earnings. I will be waiting to see the 10Q which will probably come in
a week or two.

Hopefully they talk about future prospects though.

Otherwise will probably end up in the $14-$15 million revenue for the
year and maybe .01-.02 EPS for the year. Which on a PE ratio trading in
the .20's is fairly valued. Especially for a company whos revenue is
falling. I understand they got the book value but lack of talking with
investors doesn't get investors excited at all either.

I still would love to see a buyback especially at these levels. They
could pick up 10% of the outstanding shares and about 30% of the float
for less than $1 million. And they would still have plenty of money to
play with.

Its a trading range bound stock until....

Company talks to its investors,
buyback,
or big order news comes out.

I am holding for right now.

Steve

DFNS AND TATTF UPDATES

2008-08-13T10:37:00.000-04:00

Updates on the 2 stocks I own.

First on DFNS.

Nothing new on it. Still in the upper .20's and light volume.

They are due to report Q2 earnings on the 15th which is Friday. I would imagine though they will be late and not report until Monday (or later) of Next week.

Its hard to say what the #'s will be DFNS doesn't like to give out much information so its hard to say. Hopefully the margins improved though and we will see some profits again. I would LOVE to see .02 EPS for the quarter. But I am not sure that we will see that. Whatever the company does, what will move the stock is what the company has to SAY about about performance. If they don't say anything then we may just be treading water for a while.

The book value is still in the low .40's and they still should do $14-$15 million for the year I think. The company has a current market cap of under $8 million so its a good deal at these levels I think. Just have to have some patience with this stock. Which I am kind of running out of especially at the levels I bought at. Those getting in at these levels for the first time though I think will make out pretty well. Unless the company makes some MAJOR blunders.

So we will wait until Q2 earnings come out and hope for the best.

The other stock I am in is TATTF. (not for the stockdoubling project)
I have an average position in the low $7's I believe it is. And bought it about 2 months ago.
You can read all the stats I did on it on the previous blog entries.
But it fell to the low to mid $5 range in July but in the last couple of weeks has moved back up a little bit and as of this writing is trading at $6.20 per share.

They own 8.1 million shares of LIMC which should report earnings by the 15th of August. So if the earnings are good from LIMC that stock should move and so should TATTF.
TATTF is also due to report their own earnings on August 15th that being a friday they each may wait until after the bell on Friday I am not sure.

TATTF earnings will be off last years I am pretty sure but TATTF is just a value play.
They have a marketcap of about $41 million. However their investment in LIMC by itself is worth about $38 million. So the markets are only valuing TATTF assets, cash, other businesses at $3 million which crazy.
TATTF should be trading at $8-$10 per share right now easy I think and eventually I think the market will prove that out assuming my #s are right and the company doesn't crumble.

I will update you when they come out with their earnings.

Have a great day
Steve Hoven

StockDoubling Stock UPDATE!

2008-07-21T11:11:00.000-04:00

I wanted to update on the StockDoubling project.

First on DFNS.OB yes I still own it. Currently the bid/ask is .26 by .29

Which puts the company value under $8.5 million marketcap. I am not going to beat a dead horse you can read my thoughts on the #'s etc.. In previous posts nothing has changed as far as that goes over the last month or two.

Next scheduled news is August 15th which is when the Q2 report is due. HOPEFULLY, they report it before then. They had their biggest sales quarter in Q2 of last year so I am not expecting them to do better than last year. What I am hoping to is some PROFITS! If it losses money again for Q2 then I think the stock could slide a little more. I would love to see a couple cents profit but I don't know if they can get that or not.

They have a decent amount of cash if they do well with the cash they can hopefully get the share price moving higher. But the share price WILL move higher if they EARN $$$. If they can't earn money it will continue to bounce around the .20's to .30's. If they earned a couple cents for the quarter and said things look great going forward then we could get some momentum in the stock.

If they have expenses under control and can earn a profit the worst is probably over. It would have very limited downside. If they can't get margins under control and can't turn a profit then the lows may not be set in. Risk/reward at these levels is pretty good reward for the risk I feel. When it turns I don't know though something has to come out from the company. Such as New orders or buying a company or something.

Last week had some 10k share blocks trade which was nice to see though it did little to the share price. We will have to wait and see until August 15th I guess.

The other stock I own is TATTF it isn't for the stockdoubling project but you can read more about it in previous posts.

It seems to have stablized in the near term at least. And it up a little bit from its lows. I am in at higher prices but I still feel that TATTF is extremely undervalued. Their investment in LIMC is worth $38 million by itself. TATTF marketcap (its own value is only worth $38 million right now) So the millions in cash TATTF has and the other company they own a majority stake in, and their own $20 million a year business is valued at ZERO according to the market.
Its true value will eventually come out I think and I feel $10 isn't out of the question over the next few months. They will need to report earnings along with LIMC by August 15th.

Lastly their is a penny stock that just went long via Marketclub trade triangles I have a video about it at

http://www.tradelikethis.wordpress.com

if you want to check it out.

Have a good day
Steve

Free Gift this weekend

2008-07-12T14:57:00.002-04:00

Here is a FREE Gift for you this weekend!

4 trading videos from

http://www.Videos4Traders.com

You can watch this 5 minute video on Youtube of exactly what you get. But it is over 3 hours in trading videos from traders who have traded and have been successful for years.

Topics such as .....

* Classic Indicators
* Avoid Trading Pitfalls
* I am a Turtle
* Exit Strategies

Their is the youtube video of how to sign up.

Or if you are ready to sign up just go to ...

http://www.Videos4Traders.com

have a great weekend.
Steve

DFNS AND TATTF NEWS

2008-06-27T16:20:00.001-04:00

I wanted to update for the weekend on the 2 stocks I own.

Both stocks are based in Israel. So unless Israel is destroyed by IRAN or something I think what I am about to say is valid.

DFNS which is the stock for the StockDoubling project has a bid and ask as of this writing of .26 bid (what you sell it for) and .27 ask (what you buy it for) Actually a few minutes ago the ask was at .26 as well.

Back in Dec 2007 DFNS hit a low of .24. And prior to that it hit a low of .22 back in June 2006. So over the last 2 years .22 is the low for the stock and it isn't like it stayed down that low it usually was a quick stop in the low .20's before moving to the higher .20's and .30's.

So are we going to bounce off the bottom again? I don't know that for sure but looking at the charts and fundmentals of the stock I can't see it fall much further and the risk/reward is tremendous at these levels.

Why these levels are attractive for DFNS....

1. You have good support here in the .20's
2. 29 million shares of DFNS x .27 makes a $7.5 million marketcap they have $5 million in cash! Means you are buying the company for basically $2.5 million for a company that will do $15+ million in revenue for the year!
3. If their is additional fighting with IRAN or other countries. The military spending should increase and DFNS would benefit from that.
4. It has a book value of .43
5. I think at these levels even if it gets back to .35 that is a 29% return so it is a good TRADING stock now as well.
6. They will have twice as much revenue this year as they are currently worth in market cap.

I just think its a SCREAMING BUY at these levels.

Unless the company makes MAJOR blunders on how to spend their cash or Israel goes to full out war with IRAN and is bombed heavily or something I just don't see much other downside to the stock at these point.

I had talked previously when it was in the mid .30's that I see a trading range for the stock from the high .20's to the low .40's. Well we are at the lows so that is the time to buy some I think.

IF YOU DON'T OWN DFNS I WOULD SUGGEST YOU DOING YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND CONSIDER IT!
The downside is limited I think for those purchasing in the mid/upper .20's.

The second stock I own is TATTF which is also an ISRAEL stock.
THIS IS NOT A STOCKDOUBLING PICK! Just another stock that I feel can move and is undervalued.

I actually purchased this stock a few different times but my average price is $7.13. As of today it is trading at $5.60. So I am down on this one as well. However the value I think is there for a $10 stock. I will touch on some of the highlights but do your own research.

TATTF has 6.6 million shares outstanding x $5.60 that is $37 million market cap.
TATTF owns 8.1 MILLION shares of LIMC (62% of that company) LIMC is currently trading for $4.31 per share. Lets assume its only worth $4 per share to make it easy. $4 x 8.1 million shares = $32 million is what TATTF investment in LIMC is worth.

So that means taking out LIMC investment out of TATTF. TATTF is valued at only $5 million or so.

TATTF also has recently purchased another company (private) for some cash and owns a big chunk in that.
TATTF I believe has roughly $5-$10 million in cash. (hard to tell with an Israel company and their reporting)
let's assume its just $5 million. That means from the cash in the bank and LIMC investment TATTF by itself is worth $0!
So their investment into this new company is worth $0. The $20 million or so in revenue they do by themselves each year is worth $0!

Which is of course CRAZY!

TATTF earned .23 EPS for the Q1 of this year. If they do that each quarter that would be .92 EPS for the year. At 12x P/E ratio that is $11 stock

TATTF is near 3 year lows on the stock price.

I think it offers good risk/reward for investors. The company even authorized $5 million to buy back stock which needs to be done by the end of July. Doesn't mean they will buy it all back but its a good plus.

Have a great weekend

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Check out
www.WatchTheTrend.com
and
www.Videos4traders.com

Israel stocks going lower?

2008-06-23T13:13:00.000-04:00

You can buy DFNS for .30 right now. YIKES.

Its not bad long term I don't think at these levels.

The risk though is.....

Does israel bomb Iran?

What is IRAN reaction?

Is Israel still around or can they function with a wide spread war?

Some reasons why the stock may be headed lower.

Actually I own another ISRAEL stock TATTF which is also going lower on light volume.

If a war starts with iran and israel. The civilian sales for DFNS will expand but will the profit margins? And if it wide scale can DFNS operate with bombings etc..

Not saying that will happen. But israel won't let Iran have Nukes and IRAN isn't going to like getting bombed. US would step in I am sure as well. Than do we have another big war? Oil continues higher and does it become a major fight for that?

Not saying any of that will happen but some may be leaving the stock because of that.

Interesting stuff to think about at least.

This stock Doubled in a week

2008-06-18T12:41:00.002-04:00

Here is a video of some marketclub trades of some penny stocks. One of them doubled in less than a week. I don't own either of them and don't plan on it. But I wanted to show you the power of marketclub.

If you haven't checked out the 2 week trial yet you need to at

http://www.TradeLikeThis.com

FYI I own TATTF (not based on marketclub but based on value) my average price is $7.13 and am looking for $10 in the next couple of months. We will see if it works out. THIS HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH THE STOCKDOUBLING PROJECT!

Here is the video I was talking about.

Have a great day
Steve

DFNS news, Another stock I bought and MondayJune16.com

2008-06-13T09:06:00.000-04:00

Just a quick update on the StockDoubling.com Project.

I am still in DFNS and look for high .20's to mid .40's until the company comes out with additional new order press releases or until a good 2nd quarter is reported which won't be until August 15. (I am not sure it will be a good Q2 anyway) The downside to the stock is limited for the long term though so I am holding and waiting for better prices.

I did want to mention I bought some shares of TATTF the other day above $7. THIS IS HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH THE STOCKDOUBLING PROJECT AND DOES NOT EFFECT THE PROJECT IN ANY WAY. This was ADDITIONAL money I had to trade.

I am NOT looking for TATTF to double but I do think it is undervalued and I think $10 a share is my goal over the next 60-90 days or so.
They trade at a discount to book value and well below 1x P/S and will probably make .80-$1 for the year so at these levels I see them well undervalued.
Again this ISN'T a stockdoubling.com PICK but it just an additional stock that I bought just for short term gain (hopefully) I don't have a stop in place but unless the company comes out with some bad news I don't foresee me selling. It is near some good support in the $6+ range. Whether that is the bottom or not I don't know.

Make sure you don't miss the HUGE NEWS on Monday June 16

www.MondayJune16.com

It will change the way you trade forever.

Have a profitable day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS if I was trading it via MARKETCLUB

2008-05-23T11:32:00.001-04:00

This video shows what would have happened if I traded DFNS via marketclub since I bought it with the stockdoubling pick in April 2007.

It is pretty interesting stuff.

have a great weekend

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Marketclub for TSSW

2008-05-23T11:11:00.002-04:00

Here is the video of TSSW if trading via Marketclub over the last year.

A great example of to beginner traders. Your WINNING %'S HAS NO BARRING on your PROFITS!!

Here is a perfect example. 4 trades 3 trades were losses but the 1 trade was a BIG winner and a very nice profit overall!

I know that was big hurdle for me to get over early in my own trading. I always looked at winning %'s to see if a system was good. Well that is SO misleading. As you can have a system that wins 90% of the time but is still not profitable.

Say you win 9 out of 10 trades and the average winner is 1 point but the average loser is 10 points. That means you still lost money!

A great many top traders never even win close to 50% of there trades they don't have to they keep their losers small and let their winners run.

If your average win was 3 x's your average loss do you know you only have to win 25% of the time to BREAKEVEN!
So out of 4 trades you could lose 1 point on 3 trades and win 1 trade for 3 points and you would still breakeven!

Which was very easy to see in the TBSI video I made earlier this week.
The winners made on average over $10 per share and the losers were around $2 a share! So the profits were 5x more than the losses!!

Check out Marketclub this weekend. They offer a 30 DAY RISK FREE OFFER. The cost is about $1 a day and well worth it if you are trading.

http://www.TradeLikeThis.com

It works in the FOREX, FUTURES, OPTIONS OR STOCK MARKETS!
So whatever you trade you can find a way to profit from it.

Here is the video of TSSW over the last year.

Have a great weekend.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Marketclub chart for CBMX

2008-05-21T21:51:00.002-04:00

CBMX was an OTHER STOCK back in Jan 2007. It had a 1 for 10 reverse split.

You can view the results if trading on Marketclub with CBMX.

If you want to check out marketclub go to

www.TradeLikeThis.com

Have a great day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS NEWS, and ETLT with Marketclub

2008-05-21T08:31:00.003-04:00

DFNS came out with a press release yesterday but didn't really say anything different then what we knew from the 10k and 10Q report.
You can read it here.
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/080520/20080520006379.html?.v=1

Next earnings report is due August 15th. IT WON'T be as strong as Q2. Hopefully they turn a profit but we will see. Unless they come out with some news between now and then I see it as a "dead" stock for a while moving between .30-.40 or so. I am still in just frustrated with things.

------------------------------------------------------------
Check out this video on ETLT which is an "OTHER STOCK" from Oct 2006.

Another profitable round of trading with marketclub.

Have a profitable day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

PS let me know what stock you would like a video done on and I will check it out and show you the results trading it with Marketclub.

Big Moves in an "OTHER STOCK"

2008-05-20T09:58:00.002-04:00

Here is a video of TBSI it was an "OTHER STOCK" of ours from back in May 2006. It has made a HUGE run.

You can view the video of all the profits made trading TBSI the marketclub way.

If you want to check out Marketclub

CLICK HERE

it costs just over a buck a day for TREMENDOUS SYSTEM TO TRADE!

I do NOT own TBSI at this time. This is just showing the profits possible with the Marketclub system.

Have a great trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

MarketClub Chart

2008-05-19T14:39:00.002-04:00

I am starting a new series on Marketclub.

MarketClub is a trading system.

It ISN'T for daytrading the markets but if you are looking for some GREAT ways to trade stocks. (More trades than what I offer at StockDoubling you will want to check it out.)

This week I will go over some of the "OTHER STOCKS" I have had over the past 2+ years with the StockDoubling project. When I look for a stock for the stockdoubling project I research thousands of stocks finally getting down to 5 stocks that I feel have a good chance of doubling. Out of the 5 I pick what I feel is the best opportunity for a double. However the "other 4 stocks" I also release those to the subscribers and give my opionon on them etc..

This week we are going to chart some of the "Other Stocks" using the marketclub product.

The first stock is GEOI which I was part of the "Other Stocks" back in Oct 2005.

You can check out the 9 minute video as I go over some of the steps here.

You can check out the RISK FREE offer and MANY videos available about Marketclub by CLICKING HERE.

Have a profitable day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS update and other STUFF.

2008-05-17T07:47:00.003-04:00

I wanted to update you on DFNS.

1. DFNS came out with an amended 10Q yesterday to correct the EPS for Q1. As I talked to you in the last update I thought the EPS LOSS was less than .01 and in their orginal report they showed .02. I emailed the company and they responded that they noticed the mistake as well and would be correcting it. The loss is really like .008 but they round up to .01.
So I am glad that has been fixed.

2. All things considering the stock didn't fair too bad yesterday only going down .01 on the stock price. .35 by .36 is the bid/ask. The bad thing at this level it isn't a SCREAMING buy like it would be in the high .20's and .30. But it isn't overvalued either so you don't really get momentum going in any direction.

3. The company SHOULD come out with a press release on their Q1 report on Monday I would expect. Hopefully they will shed some light on things. They do have a good amount of cash now as well so hopefully in the next couple of months we will see some movement in buying companies or buying back shares or something.

4. We started this project on Oct 31st 2005 with $500 and a goal of hitting $1 million within 11 years. Double our money once a year was the goal. It went fast the first year or so and has slowed down a LOT since than.
This is how the goal looks.
$500 Oct 31st 2005 Start
$1000 Oct 31st 2006 DONE
$2000 Oct 31st 2007 DONE
$4000 Oct 31st 2008 Well we started our DFNS with $4000 so that was completed. However since we are underwater with DFNS (8000 shares x .50) we are under that goal. So to stay on track, we either have to have $4000 back by Oct 31st 2008 or $8000 by Oct 31st 2009. My point being we still have some time yet in DFNS even though its been over a year we have been in this stock. If I don't see a potential for the stock to move to $1 over the next year + and it hits .50 again I may bail. It would give us plenty of time to still reach our goal etc..

5. I don't know when I will start the 2nd StockDoubling project again. I continue to evalute DFNS I don't want to be choosing both a StockDoubling project stock and a stockdoubling project Stock #2 at the same time. I will probably also have monthly picks like I did before stocks I feel that can move 15-35% within 4-6 weeks. I will keep you posted on that. In the meantime......

6. Next week you will want to check this blog EVERYDAY. As I will be making videos of some stocks from the stockdoubling projects and how you could have profited from them and can in the future. I will have a new video each day Lord willing to help you in your trading.
I will give you reminders each day as well. It should be fun.

Have a great weekend.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS EARNINGS ARE OUT

2008-05-15T22:05:00.000-04:00

Hi StockDoublers,

DFNS released their 10Q today after the bell. Actually WELL after the bell.

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1069563/000117891308001245/zk85220.htm

Anyway they dumped it on a friday for good reason it STINKS!!!

$3.1 million in revenue for Q1 and their margins are way DOWN.

They lost money for the Quarter. Its says .02 in the report but I don't know its right due to the figures I come up with.

Civilian Local was WAY up like 300k more than what they did any quarter last year but with all the revenue they LOST money on that sector.

Export Civilian was basically one customer last year for almost $600k. And in their report they said that person is doing their own product so they don't foresee much of any orders from them. SO $600K is gone for 2008.

Local Military was $1.3 million but that was roughly in line with what they said in their 10k report. Still way down from last years Q1.

Export Military was the most disappointing only $600k vs over $1 million last year and that should have been their STRONGEST growth sector.
But now they say for that sector that their growth will be based on pricing. In other words they have to sell their product for cheaper to get more business which means MARGINS will go down even more.

I think they need to spend some money on a calculator though cause their NT 10k was off on EPS they said .07 it ended up being less then .05. And now their first Q1 is weird #'s. I show them losing less than .01 but they have .02 loss.

On a positive side their backlog got larger from Dec 31st to March 31st. Mostly in export military to Africa/Asia so that is good.

As far as the stock price I wouldn't think this would be a good report by any means. But the loss isn't that much to recover from if its less than .01 which is what my figures show.

The book value is around .43 per share and they have a lot of cash. If they use it wisely it should be a good investment still. I think its still has limited LONG TERM downside. And I would pick it up again in the upper .20's if it got there and probably even at .30. Upside though I think is pretty limited as well unless some major orders come in or they buy back some stock or something. Personally I would probably sell all my shares for .60 even though that isn't close to a double. And I would be fine with it.

Crunching some of the #'s this is what I come up with for the year.
Their is NO WAY too tell if they will be profitable or not but I just based my figures on revenue.

They have $2.6 million IDM backlog and $2.2 million in recently announced orders due for 2008. If they get thru the backlog and $2.2 million that would be an additional $4.8 million for the year. I think their will probably be more orders (maybe announced or unannounced on IDM for an additional $900k)
So $2.6 +$2.2 + .9 = $5.7 million for the rest of the year from IDM. Plus the $1.3 for Q1 is $7 million for IDM for 2008.

Local Civilian was a huge $1.1 million I don't see it being that good going forward but doing $2.9 million the rest of the year for a total of $4 million Local Civilian.

Export Civilian I will say ZERO for the year. Anything here is a bonus as they lost their main customer for this last year.

Export Military $600k Q1. $2.4 million backlog for africa/asia/europe if they go thru that its $3 million total. That means basically no more orders just go thru the backlog.

So all together that would $7 million IDM, $4 million Civilian and $3 million export Military or $14 million in revenue for 2008.
Which is down from 2007 but probably realistic. If that is the case they will save $100k+ in not paying the president a bonus this year.

I am holding currently but if it pops up a bit I may unload some of my non StockDoubling project shares.

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS Q1 report due May 15th

2008-05-14T09:21:00.000-04:00

Hello Stockdoublers,

DFNS is due to report their Q1 earnings on Thursday May 15th. Whether they report them then or not I don't know.

They ran WAY behind on the 10k report so whether they had enough time from that report release to this one I don't know. If they file for an extension they would have 5 additional days to report otherwise the E would go back on their symbol again. We will worry about that though IF that happens.

I personally don't think they will beat last years Q1 which was $3.9 million in revenue and .014 EPS. IF it does beat that we should move higher. If it doesn't beat it we will probably go down in stock price. I am quite disappointed that they didn't come out with a press release after the 10k report to tell people what is going on. Hopefully they will after the Q1 is released.

I will be back after the report is released with my take on things.

Have a profitable day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS on the move, and Free commission trades

2008-05-07T16:25:00.001-04:00

Hello StockDoublers,

The symbol is now back to DFNS, the E is off since they reported their 10k. Which someone must like because the volume is over 115,000 today which is pretty good volume on a non news day. Someone bought at .45 just before the close 200 shares to make it look like a big day. However most of the day it traded at .40-.41. But it is in the right direction at least.

I was hoping they would come out with a press release about their year of 2007 but I guess they aren't going to. Maybe on Thursday we will see.....

Next important release is due next Thursday May 15th. Their Q1 is due to be reported then. Whether they will file on time for the Q1 I don't know. That will tell us how 2008 is shaping up and hopefully they will come out with a press release summarizing Q1 and the year 2007 after that report is out.

If you are new to this StockDoubling project and don't have a brokerage account open yet I wanted to take a minute to share a couple of possiblities.

1. Scottrade.com I personally use scottrade myself and have a roth IRA with them and a personal account with them. You can open an account for as little as $500 and you just pay $7 commissions per trade. When you sign up if you use referal code SVZP9077 you will get 3 FREE Trades ($21 value) I am pleased with Scottrade and it is a good way to go I feel.

2. Zecco I just signed up with them the other day though I have yet to deposit money with them. The nice thing about them is they have NO minimum deposit to start trading so you can start with $100 if you wanted. (Though I don't suggest that.) Commissions are just $4.50 per trade. If you open an account for $2,500 you get 10 FREE trades each month. So if you trade a little more often and can start with at least $2,500 that is a good way to go. If you use this link you can get all the above and another FREE gift when you join with them.
http://friends.zecco.com/r/3df1ea186dc1102b8555

It is a good idea I feel to have 2 brokerage accounts eventually. They don't have to have equal amounts in them but when/if one of your brokers are done for maintance etc.. And you see a trade you want to place you have a backup. I DON'T SUGGEST DOING THIS WHEN YOU ARE JUST STARTING OUT!

Have a good day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

My DFNS 10k Analysis

2008-05-05T19:42:00.001-04:00

Hi StockDoublers,

DFNSE (OR DFNS) came out with their 10k today.

1. The E should come off the symbol sometime soon I believe. So give it a couple of days and the symbol should go back to DFNS.

2. Their 1st Quarter report is due by May 15th. Whether they will report in time I don't know since they were so late with this report. (In their 10k they did talk about lack of accounting people at their company and they would be hiring additional ones)

3. They had revenue of $19 million and net income of $1.4 million.
In their NT-10K back on March 31st (which is a report you have to file saying you are going to be late) they said that Net income was $1.6 million and EPS was .07. I talked about it then that $1.6 million into 29 million shares only equals .055 EPS so where they came up with .07 I had no idea.
Well based on the 10K that was released they only did $1.4 million in Net Income which is roughly .048 EPS or under .05. That is HUGE difference!
I wish I could get an answer why the #'s were so off but I can't ever get ahold of Investor relations and no one really answers questions their so I doubt I could ever find out.

4. They have just under 200 full time employees

5. They paid $129K in a bonus to the President of the company. I have NO problem with the bonus, the issue I have is he OWNS ZERO shares of the stock and could have taken the bonus in stock if he felt it was so undervalued.

6. They have book value of about .25 per share BEFORE the $5 million or so they are receiving in Q1 and Q2 settlement from the government that should add roughly .15-.17 after taxes to their book value. So book value will be around .40-.43 per share.

7. Based on a .38 share price the stock has a market cap of about $11 million which is about .58 Price to sales ratio. If it had a 1 price to sales ratio it would be trading at .65 per share.

8. It earned .048 EPS (they rounded up to .05) at 10x P/E its a .48 stock. At 15x P/E its a .72 stock.

9. The company grew revenues by 81% last year and had earnings of almost .05 vs a little more than a penny loss last year. So 2007 was a good year for sure.

10. Hopefully they will come out with a press release tomorrow talking about how 2007 was a great year and what they look for in 2008. That would help share prices.

11. What are my thoughts on the stock price?
If I didn't own any shares at this time I don't know if I would buy some or not.
The negatives are ......
a. I don't think they will be able to match last years revenue for IDM ($9 million+)
b. If a. is true then revenue would slip in 2007.
c. Investor relations is horrible will the stock have a run?
d. how much upside does it really have?
e. could the Q1 report be negative (breakeven) and send the stock lower?

The positives are...
a. Very limited downside. Book value of .40 per share soon.
b. earning money good P/E ratio?

Personally if the stock was at .60 today I would probably bail out of it completely. I just don't see a huge run in it coming unless they can build on this 19 million revenue and .05 EPS. If 2008 is better than 2007 by 15-20%+ I think this stock can run a little bit but based on the orders from IDM so far this year I find it hard pressed to beat revenue #'s of 2007.

But I don't also see much downside either. They are earning money and any move to .30 is way too low for this stock that has a book value of .40 and earned .048.

A couple of positives that are good for this coming year. They had a hit of tax penalty of $200k in 2007 which if that is taken care of is almost .01 added to EPS. Also the president only gets his bonus if revenue increases so if revenue is say $17 million for 2008 he wouldn't get the bonus and that is $100k saved from 2007.

12. They talk about possibly using the settlement money for buying other companies. That could be good or bad depending on the buyout. Personally I would like them to buy back $1 million worth of stock. That is roughly 2 million shares if they were bought at .50 each. It would help share prices and the bottomline with less shares outstanding.

I am in DFNS and will stay in for the time being. Long from .50 from a almost 13 months ago so I frustrated that they had such a good year and I didn't get to take part in it.

Have a profitable day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS REPORT IS OUT

2008-05-05T12:48:00.001-04:00

The 10k report on DFNSE is finally out

You can review it at

http://biz.yahoo.com/e/080505/dfnse.ob10ksb.html

short answer I am a little disappointed.

I will write more on it later today.

Thanks
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNSE reports new order

2008-05-02T07:42:00.001-04:00

Hello Stockdoublers,

DFNS (E) came out with news yesterday of a new order from the Israel Defense Ministry. (IDM)

You can review it here
http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/080501/20080501006104.html?.v=1

It is a $4.5 million order, 1/2 of which will be delivered in 2008. So basically $2.2 million order for this year.

Overall its good to report new orders etc.. However IDM orders were worth probably $8-10 million for 2007. (We won't know until their 10k comes out.) IDM was worth according to my figures $7.6 million thru the first 3 quarters. So being a $2.2 million order is a big drop from that.
Now it is only May so they could come in with more orders etc... And I do expect 2008 IDM to account for more than $2.2 million for the year. But I would be hard pressed to see how it does better than 2007.
But we will see.

They need to expand their other 3 catergories especially their export military which has grown some in 2007 and hopefully continues to grow by big #'s in 2008.

What they need to do NOW though is release their 10k!! It has been over a month since the 10K was DUE. And over 2 weeks since the extension has expired. (which is why their is an E behind their symbol.)

Still waiting for the 10k.

I will report when that comes out.
thank you
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS NOW DFNSE

2008-04-18T07:07:00.000-04:00

Hello Stockdoublers,

DFNS still has not reported as of yet.

The exchange has added an E behind their symbol showing that they haven't reported in the time allowed. Someone from the company finally contacted me but had VERY little to say.

Just that they believe that the 10K will be released soon and answer my other questions I had. They gave no date etc.. Just that.

What "Soon" means I have no idea. I guess its in the same category of what the meaning of "is" is. LOL.

Anyway if you are looking for a quote today you MAY not be able to get it with just DFNS

So the symbol for now is DFNSE (It will change back to DFNS, IF/WHEN they report.)

I would think they would have the report out by the end of business on Monday. If they don't I will start to get more concerned. (They should put in the overtime if need be over the weekend and get it done. Whether they will or not I don't know but that is what they should do.)

I am holding on. I don't know if all shareholders will so the stock may slide a few cents while we wait. The longer the wait the bigger the slide probably.

I will let you know more when I have more information.

Have a good weekend.
Steve Hoven

STILL NO NEWS ON DFNS UGH!

2008-04-17T10:35:00.000-04:00

Hello Stockdoublers,

DFNS still doesn't have anything to report on the 10k and it is very disheartening.

I can't get anyone to return an email or phone call to me. I left a message for Investor Relations and an email still without a reply.

I also contacted the company directly from their site at www.defense-industries.com and they have not yet responded.

No one on the message boards for DFNS that I have been on have any answers as well.

I thought the date was 15 days after March 31st they had to come out with the 10k I guess that isn't the case but I would at least like some answers from Investor relations.

This is actually the 3rd time that IR over the course of a year hasn't been prompt in getting back with me. With all the money that DFNS received from the recent settlement they need to hire a decent IR person. Because they aren't getting their money worth out of the current one from what I have seen.

I am still holding tight to the stock and will. But if this stock is going to have any real movement in the future more people need to know about it. You can have the greatest business in the world but if no one knows about it you aren't going to get customers. Same goes for a stock price.

Well I will let you know more when I have any information to share.

Have a good day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

1 year in DFNS

2008-04-11T09:51:00.002-04:00

Well we have been in DFNS for 1 year now.

I bought DFNS on April 9th 2007 at .50 for the StockDoubling project.

I reviewed some of my comments from that original post. http://stockdoubling.blogspot.com/2007/04/dfns-5th-pick-for-stockdoublingcom.html

I thought $15-$20 million in revenue was possible for 2007. It looks like they did $19 million. And earnings could be between .03-.10 it looks like .05-.07 (I am not sure until they release their 10k)

This is the first stock that I have been in for the entire year. Which is really what the project is about. Finding 1 stock per year. Of course I don't want to be in that long but that is the way it has gone.

It has been an interesting ride with lots of times I thought a big rally was just around the corner. And a good amount of opportunities for people to buy.

I like it more TODAY than I did back then. I think it offers far less risk and much more reward then it did a year ago. And its 20% off last years prices.

DFNS HIGH for the year was .70 and low was .24

Current trading at .40 or down 20% from our entry.

They should release their 10k report by April 15th. So anytime really (I predict sometime on Monday) that should give us a better idea of the Q4 results and what we have in store for the future.

I am still quite confident in the stock and don't see much downside at all to this stock.

Basically when I bought it a year ago the book value was around .20. NOW its about .43
They lost money last year. This year they made .05-.07 and is 6-8x PE ratio.
Last year the Price to sales ratio was 1.3 now it is .76
Last year the price was .50 NOW .40

All the important stats are MUCH better then they were a year ago. Yet the price is down 20% from last year.

I think if the company comes out with positive news as far as future growth etc.. That this stock will move VERY quickly higher.

If you are NEW to the stockdoubling project or haven't bought DFNS yet you may want to do your research and consider it. I personally would buy some more at these levels if I had additional money in my brokerage account. But don't do it based on me do your own research.

NOW lets talk about the 4 OTHER STOCKS FROM LAST YEAR.

I also mentioned the 4 other stocks that were in the running for the pick in my original post last April 9th.

I will update you on the price action of each.
These are in RANDOM ORDER! I DON'T RECOMMEND BUYING ANY OF THESE STOCKS AT THIS TIME.

GLDS (which is now AIRI) THEN .275 NOW .22 DOWN 18% HIGH .42 LOW .18

At its highest point it was up 50%. At its lowest point it was down 36%. I don't really follow this stock they issue a LOT of shares and I don't like stocks like that so I really haven't followed it. They have bought a lot of different companies and say they will be profitable but with so many shares issued all the time its hard to get a good feel for them. They remind me to much of ATSX and that scares me bad so I don't really watch it.

AYSI THEN .67 NOW $1.25 UP 86% HIGH $2.05 LOW .30

At its highest point it was up 205%. At its lowest point it was down 55%. They have had quite a run up and down. They ran down way too much for what they had and they ran UP probably too much as well. But they ran UP and down pretty quick. Now it is somewhere in the middle. A nice stock over the last 18 months though.

TSSW THEN .76 NOW $1.42 UP 87% HIGH $2.44 LOW .72

At its highest point it was up 221%. At its lowest point it was down 5%. This is by far the best stock of the 5 total. It went UP just a few days after I talked about it. And didn't look back. It had a very nice run and came back down some but was never really under water much at all. They recently announced they are being bought out for $1.48 per share.

CAGC THEN $2.90 NOW $2.50 DOWN 14% HIGH $6.25 LOW $1.78

At its highest point it was up 116%. At its lowest point it was down 39%. This is a china stock which were hot for a while. They make good money but china can be a bit scary as far as reporting etc.. It had a nice run up and they announced they should earn good money. It is probably a little undervalued at these levels but I don't like the China stocks as a whole right now so I will stay away.

3 of the 5 stocks doubled in value.
Had you bought $1000 worth of each of the 5 stocks and held them until they doubled and then sold you would have $6000 right now and still own $820 worth of AIRI and $800 worth of DFNS. (As those 2 stocks haven't doubled yet.)

So the total value of your portfolio would be $7620 or a 52% return for the year. NOT TOO BAD.
(Obviously that is just an example and you can work your own #'s based on your own portfolio size.)

It has been an interesting year.

I will update you again when DFNS comes out with their 10k report which should be within the next couple of days.

NONE OF THE ABOVE INFORMATION IS A RECOMMENDATION TO DO ANYTHING!

Thank you
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS NEWS OUT

2008-03-31T10:13:00.001-04:00

Big Q4 for DFNS!

http://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1069563/000117891308000781/zk85049.htm

Use that link.

basically $19 million in revenue. (which is like a $5 million Q4)
And .07 NET profit for the quarter.

This should be a .70 stock!!

They will be reporting late though so look for a report in the next 2 weeks.

I will have more later.

Steve

Still Waiting on DFNS

2008-03-27T13:40:00.001-04:00

Still waiting on the DFNS 10k report. I would say it will probably
happen on Monday March 31st now. Hopefully it won't happen after the
market closes today or before tomorrows open. Usually when companies
dump news on Fridays it isn't too good.

The weekend tends to stop momentum so if its bad Friday is the time to
release it.

So I am hopefully that Monday will be the day. If they don't release it
by the open on April 1st they would be considered late. (They were a
few days late last year. I don't think they will be this year though.)

As of this writing you can buy for .38 and sell for .34. Unless they
come up with horrible quarterly results or follow up news (IE sales are
going to be horrible for 2008) I think we head higher unless the news
is real bad.

The problem has been lack of volume lately. Averaging less than 20,000
shares a day for the last 2 weeks. They need to hire a better Investor
Relations person.

You have a company that has a book value of roughly .43 per share and
has earnings right now of .043. If they were trading at .43 per share
they would be trading 1x book value and 10x P/E and less than 1x Price
to sales.

I think if they earned any kind of profits for their Q4. We will see
the stock close the gap to .50 range. Which is about a 30% move up from
these levels.

Downside is pretty limited at this point I think. They have a nice book
value. (Even they closed for business after paying debts they would
still have .43 per share)

Any downside based on the 10k report I think will be short term. Unless
it just is a totally blowout to the downside. But I can't think of a
reason for this stock to be trading lower than .30 that would well
under book value, P/E would be low and P/S really low.

Big News on DFNS

2008-03-13T14:32:00.002-04:00

http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/080313/20080313005883.html?.v=1

Check out the above link for the news.

Basically the company will get $6 million from Israel for compensation for evacuatation of persons and companies from the Erez Industrial Zone in the Gaza Strip a couple of years ago.

That $6 million is CASH IS HUGE.

They already had a book value of about .24.

Add $4-5 million in cash to that after taxes it adds .14-.17 to the book value. That means the book value would be .38-.41 by itself. And a TON of it in cash.

Its great news. The stock is up some today but should be higher than that just based on that news.

I think it will fill the gap it made back in the fall and rally up to the .50 range before to long.
10k report is also due in the next 2 weeks.

I will post more when I can.

Steve

Free Stock Analysis

2008-03-07T13:04:00.004-05:00

DFNS UP TODAY

2008-02-20T10:05:00.001-05:00

DFNS came out with news that the SEC inquiry is over and no need to make further changes.

The market likes it as it is UP a bit today on nice volume.

March 31st is the big day where they will have to release their 10k report. If DFNS broke even or MADE money for the quarter this stock will be in the .40's again. If they lost money we may be in the .30's for a while.

The risk/reward in the low .30's is still pretty good though I think.

At .33 and 29 million shares outstanding you have a company worth $9.6 million. The company should do close to $17+ million for 2007. So is trading at a discount to sales. The book value of the company is .24 and growing. They aren't issuing a lot of stock so that is a plus.

They have some smaller orders that they announced but nothing big.

I would think the revenues for Q4 would be in the $2.5-$3 million range.
Earnings is going to be tough. Heart wants it to be up but I think they may lose money based on what I see.

I hope to see some projections from the company on 2008 though that would be nice.

Have a good trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS NICE DAY ON TUESDAY

2008-01-23T07:29:00.000-05:00

( I wrote this up yesterday but forgot to post it until this morning... )

Nice day in DFNS today.

Good Volume, UP 20%+. Congrats to those that got in when it was in the mid .20's.

DFNS got the SEC issues out of the way with there NEW 10Q's for Q1 and Q2. Not much of a change as far as profits etc...

With that behind them they were able to issue a press release yesterday morning. (It was a holiday so no trading happened.)

This is part of what the news release had to say.....

"We had a net profit of $1.2 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007, compared to a net loss of $400,000 in the same period last year.”

“In 2007, the Israeli's Defense Ministry's was our major customer and we expect it to continue to be our largest customer in 2008. At the same time, we continue to diligently seek new sales and marketing channels worldwide, while constantly broadening our offerings. Our U.S.-based subsidiary, Own Mills, recently launched a new production line of protective ceramic plates using new technology and machinery. We are witnessing substantial demand for this new product both in the U.S. and worldwide.”

Mr. Postbinder concluded, “I believe that we are well positioned for growth and expansion in our markets and we look ahead optimistically that our share price will in time reflect our company's true value.”
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The company has high hopes for the future which is good.
Again if we step back this is a company that will grow their revenues by 60%+ for 2007 over 2006. Will have a good amount of profit (even if Q4 comes in at a loss which I don't know if it will or not) They increased book value etc..

If today was the first time I heard about DFNS it would be on my radar and be interested in buying it of course. But it has been 9 months since the orginal StockDoubling pick of DFNS so we have seen the ups and downs.

Yes I still think it is undervalued, but without some major news new orders or the 10K report (by March 30th) I don't foresee an increase above .50. But I do think its lows are in and we could bounce around the high .20's to low .40's.

This is a stock where the CEO owns the majority of the stock so the pace of news releases isn't as much as a HYPED stock. So it will take some patience. Those that got in DFNS in the .20's will be rewarded nicely I think. Those that were in like me at .50's will have to have some patience.

2nd Project? and DFNS NEW YEAR!

2008-01-02T11:19:00.000-05:00

Hello StockDoublers,

I hope you had a good Christmas and New Year.

I wanted to update on a few things...

1. Thank you for taking part in the poll I will PROBABLY come out with a 2nd StockDoubling project at some point but it won't happen until at LEAST the end of January or the beginning of Feb. So don't look for another pick until than. I, will of course update you when things are closer and I have more information on it all etc...

2. DFNS is trading at .27 right now not many shares trading yet this morning. It is still odd to me why its down this low. Unless something underlying is going on as far as slow growth going forward etc.. It just seems way undervalued.

Book Value is .24
The 4th quarter just ended a few days ago we won't see any news on that until the end of March or early April.

With roughly 29,000,000 shares outstanding and a .27 share price it puts the market cap of the company under $8,000,000. The company should do at LEAST $16 million for the year just ended so we are trading at well less then 1x Price to sales. The company grew at a large rate this past year on earnings and sales yet is lower in share price then it was at this time last year very odd.

I know the SEC issue is there but from what it looks like is quite small and much to do about nothing. We will see if the sales are in the $3 million + range for Q4 and if they can make money I don't know if they will or not.
But aside from the company imploding it just doesn't look like a lot of downside at this point so I don't see a reason to sell. Even if the company could only do $10 million in revenue next year it is still trading at less then 1 to 1 Price to sales and just over 1 to 1 Price to Book. So I see no point of selling at these levels. If new information comes out etc... I may change my mind but at this point I think its bound to rebound some.

Last year in January the company came out with a news release that the Israel Defense Ministry just ordered $5 million worth of products which sent the stock soaring. I don't know how the budgets are in Israel if its based on the calendar year etc.. But if it is then this month maybe a good one as far as new releases of new orders. Assuming of course they actually get new orders. I wouldn't expect any BIG orders or orders at all from the Israel Defense Ministry as they still have a backlog that they have to run thru and how many vests etc. do you really need? I would love to see some bigger orders for the buses or wall covering etc.. I think that would be a positive sign especially if its from other countries.

A lot of times to start the year you see rallies in stocks that are considered "VALUE" plays. Companies that seem quite undervalued. DFNS actually has rallied nicely to start the year each of the last few years. We will see if that trend continues for it this year or not. Hopefully it will.

I would hope to see some news from the company either on the SEC and/or New orders over the next 60 days. Failure to see ANY news from those two fronts wouldn't be good news going forward in my opinion.

Right now we are in wait and see mode. I have confidence that the stock will rebound to prices that reflect the business facts.

Have a good day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

I have a New Poll PLEASE VOTE

2007-12-19T09:09:00.000-05:00

I have gotten emails from people asking my thoughts on DFNS etc.. Well my thoughts are posted on this blog and I also post them on Ragingbull.com on the DFNS board.

Some people have mentioned they just found out about Stockdoubling and would like to get involved with the next pick. Well the next pick could be a good long while from now.

And since I normally find 4 OTHER stocks that are in the running to maybe us those in a different project. (I will still have the monthly project down the road as well)

But this 2nd project would be just like StockDoubling.com Project take $500 and try and double it once a year etc.. I wouldn't suggest anyone selling out of DFNS to get into the new project it would be a totally seperate project with different funds etc.. At least that is what I would suggest.

You can see the poll to the left and make your decisions and I will determine whether its worth my time to go ahead and do another TWIN project to stockdoubling.com

Let me know by voting.

Merry Christmas
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS WHAT NOW?

2007-12-13T11:30:00.000-05:00

DFNS where do we go from here?

DFNS continues to be down in the upper.20's to low .30's. I have emailed the company NUMEROUS times since Nov. 26th and have yet to hear anything from them. I had some questions I wanted addressed by the company.

One of which was why they didn't put out a press release after the Q3 report. It wasn't as good of report as Q2 (and I didn't expect it to be) but it was their 2nd best quarter they had in YEARS! So why they didn't put out a statement saying they were happy with sales etc... Was puzzling to me. The only reason I could come up with is they didn't want to put it out because future sales don't look that promising. I don't know if that is the case or not but they have been a reason for the huge selloff.

I love to see a company that insiders own a good portion of the stock. In DFNS case though the CEO owns over 60% of the stock which means whatever he says goes anyway. Doesn't matter what the shareholders think as he controls it. Which is fine as he has a lot invested but what tends to happen is lack of effort on the company side to give QUALITY information to the general public.

I haven't sold a single share and WON'T until we hit the mid .40's again AT LEAST!! (Not sure if I would then but that would probably be the minimum I would sell some at.) I am 100% in on DFNS it is the only stock I own and don't have any $$$ in my brokerage account to buy anything else. So if I did sell any shares it would be my excess shares NOT my stockdoubling project shares. The only way I would sell some before the mid .40's would be if news came out that sales have dried up or something else major happened.

The bottom-line though is this stock can be bought many times during the week for as little as .30. It is still a company that has a BOOK VALUE (The breakup value of the company) of .24. Also market value of the company when trading at .30 is LESS then $9 million. (That is how much it would cost to buy ALL the shares at .30) Which for a company that should do $17 million in revenue for the year is A STEAL!!

So the #'s are there as far as undervalued I would say that. It just depends is the underlying business still viable going forward. Was it a 1 year fluke in business or is this something that the company can sustain and build on going forward? And that is a question I don't have an answer to and the company isn't giving out any hints either. As I said before I could wait until the end of October 2008 for the stock to hit .50 and still be on pace for the stockdoubling project. I would prefer not to wait that long of course but I do have time to wait. When things look this undervalued I just am not going to sell any shares.

An interesting bit of information though which you can study yourself if you so desire.... Looking at a 5 year chart of DFNS. (go to www.bigcharts.com and use the weekly charts) Around this time of the year should you have purchased DFNS around the mid/late December each year and held it for a couple weeks in the new year you would have made quite a nice return each time. What tends to happen especially with a lot of small cap stocks is people sell their losing stocks before the end of the year to get the tax write off. Then a flood of people come into to "cheap" or "value" stocks to start the year. And DFNS has value I think (assuming the business remains strong.) So we could see a bounce in it if history repeats itself on that. Time will tell on what happens.

Have a great trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS and the StockDoubling Project

2007-12-04T07:56:00.001-05:00

Hello StockDoubling members,

I haven't had an update in a while. Not much is new with DFNS it is WAY undervalued I believe at these prices the bid is .30 (what you can sell it for) ask is .36 (what you buy it for)

Based on .31 which was its last traded price and 29 million shares outstanding it has a market cap of $9 million. (That is the worth supposedly of the company.)

The company will do $17-18 million for the year in revenue more than likely so its value is 1/2 its sales. It also already has .042 in EPS for the year and may or may not earn more in Q4.

We could have some tax selloff before the end of the year yet on DFNS. But I think after the New year if not before we will see a move higher and people look for value and this has a ton of value.

It had a big 300k+ volume day last week but nothing really happened with it. Not sure what to think. They did also make an announcement about a new order for a product but the order was only for 250k so it isn't that big of deal. The only issue that I can foresee is that sales have just dried up. During their slow times though over the last few years they were still able to do $10 million or so a year in revenue which would still put our Price to Sales ratio at less then 1. So unless this stock simply implodes I just don't see it being down at these levels for too long.

Now on to the StockDoubling project itself......

I started the project back on October 31st 2005. The goal is to get 1 stock to double each year and after 11 years I would have $1 million after starting with just $500. Well we started off with a bang and were doubling stocks in 4 months time. Well obviously this year hasn't been good to us but we are still on track.

Starting with $500 on October 31st 2005
$1000 would be needed by October 31st 2006 (Which we had)
$2000 would be needed by October 31st 2007 (Which we had)
$4000 would be needed by October 31st 2008 (We actually put $4k into DFNS)

Anyway my point is we are still 10-11 months from the October 31st 2008 time frame when we should have $4,000. Currently I have 8000 DFNS shares at .30 so that is $2400. If DFNS came back up to .50 the $4,000 would be there.

So we just have to take a step back and look at the goals for the long term. Again this project is to see if it can get done, and hopefully it can but it wasn't a project to double stocks every 4 months it was to find 1 stock a YEAR.

With the wildness of the markets lately their are always good opportunities to look at. Right now for me I still feel DFNS is very undervalued. And unless something big happens one way or another I will be staying in it. Whether I try and ride it to $1 is another story but I don't foresee me selling it at these prices. If something changes with the company I will have to reevaluate but at this time I see a LOT more upside then downside.

Have a Great Trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS HAS GOOD VALUE

2007-11-19T10:28:00.000-05:00

Hello StockDoubling members,

I wanted to write today about why I still like DFNS.

If you take a step back and assume today was the first day you heard of DFNS here is what you have.

The company has roughly 29 million shares. And is asking .39 (how much you could buy the stock for right now) So 29 million x .39 = $11.3 million market cap for the company.

The company has already done $14.2 million in sales for the 9 months. And say they finish the year with a TOTAL of $17 million in revenue. Normally I look for stocks that are less than 2 Price to sales ratio. Well if you take $11.3 million market cap divided by $17 million in sales you could up with a .66 Price to sales ratio. Well below even 1!
A 2x P/S ratio would mean the marketcap is $34 million. Which is a triple from the current stock price levels!

Next looking at Book value the company has a book value of about .24 per share. The stock trading at .39 so the price to book is 1.6x Price to book. Yes before it was trading higher than 2x Price to book but I will talk about the reasons in the next section.

Next I look at growth is the company growing quarterly and yearly growth? The answer is a big YES!!
The company did $10.6 million in revenue last year. This year they should do around $17 million! That is a 60% increase in revenues year over year. Last year they lost roughly .01 per share. This year so far they have earned .042 EPS and even with an OK quarter could make it .05 for the year.

This company has earnings. Based on the current earnings of .042 for the 9 months we are still trading under 10x PE for a company that is growing around 60% for the year! If they do .05 for the year that is around a 8x P/E ratio. Assuming growth continues (not at 60% a year but continues to grow strong) a 12x PE isn't unreasonable. And that being said we should be at MINIMUM .50 right now.

That is why I wouldn't sell a share at these prices. If I had never heard of DFNS until today I would seriously buy this stock for the stock doubling project. Again unless sales totally dry up I don't see a ton of downside to this stock. Book value is still .24 and revenue is still $14 million even if they didn't have 1 more dollar of revenue for the year.

The 3rd quarter was the 2nd highest quarter they have had in a long time.

I will hopefully contact the company this week and ask a few questions and get back to you with the answers etc..

Again unless the company comes out with news that sales are drying up I see no reason why this stock isn't in the mid/high .40's by the end of the year which is a 15-25% return in that time.

I wish you the best in your trading.

Happy Thanksgiving if I don't talk to you before then.

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS CRUSHED!

2007-11-15T10:08:00.001-05:00

I am NOT sellling 1 share at these prices! This is crazy!!

At .39 x 29 million shares = market cap of $11.3 million. They have already done $14.2 million in revenue for the 9 months and will probably be around $17 million for the year. That is .66 x Price to sales.

Book value is at .24 so you are only trading at 1.6x book value.

EPS is at .042 for the year so far. Which means you are trading at less than 10x PE. And if they added just .008 to the 4th quarter that would mean .05 for the year.

I look for DFNS to rebound and fill the gap it just created by the end of the year for sure but I would think quicker than that. I think a 20-25% move up in the next few weeks from these .39 prices is quite possible.

Of course if DFNS comes out and says sales will slow down and we have no new contracts down the pike things could change. But the downside at this point doesn't seem too much and the upside seems to be good.

If I wouldn't have bought all I could prior to the news release I would buy at these levels. The #'s don't add up for this not going up a bit.

Have a great trading day.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

!remove

DFNS EARNINGS REVIEW!!

2007-11-14T21:13:00.000-05:00

DFNS earnings are OUT!

UGH!! I was looking for $4.3 million revenue and .017 in EPS. I said the earnings keeping the expenses down was key.

Well they beat the revenue #'s they came in at $4.6 million revenue but got HAMMERED on the EPS only giving .006 (that is 6/10's of a penny)

So for the year they have $14 million in revenue and about .042 in EPS for the year. They won't do the .07 EPS that I was hoping for that is for sure.

They do have .04+ for the year so far in EPS. So if the stock sells off tomorrow I wouldn't expect it to be HUGE. Yes it could get into the .40's but I wouldn't think .30's would be in the mix. By no means do I think its a $1 stock at this point. But I don't think its a .30 stock either.

I may sell out of some of my EXTRA shares tomorrow though I doubt I will sell my stockdoubling shares. I may be in this stock for a good while yet. Next earnings release won't be until the end of MARCH 2008! So we have over 4 months to wait for the 10K report. Hopefully in the meantime they will have some positive news releases in the mean time.

I will now give some Positives and negatives from the report....

Negatives
-----------------
Backlog is down to $5 million down $2 million from the last quarter.
Local military may only account for $1 million this current Q4
Margins got hit in a BIG WAY!
No new information on additional orders.
May take some time to get some real returns from the stock.

Positives
---------------
Book value of .24. So a .48 stock is just 2x book still very reasonable
Revenue continues to grow. $14 million so far should do at least $17 million for year.
With a $17 million year .58 stock would mean 1 to 1 price to sales ratio.
$17 million in revenue would also mean roughly 60% growth over 2006
.042 EPS for the year. Not what I had hoped but a nice base to stop the stock from falling too far.
Local Military seems strong.

If the orders dry up this stock could go much lower. If they come out with comments they could see some growth next year etc.. Then we still have some good life in the stock. It is still a good valuation on a Price to sales, Price to Book and P/E ratio. So I don't see a ton of downside unless of course the sales dry up. I don't see a ton of upside though either unless they come out with news releases about new orders etc..

We will see how the stock reacts tomorrow.

I would think the company would come out with a news release on the Q3 report sometime tomorrow before the bell.

Have a good trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS EARNINGS TODAY???

2007-11-14T07:52:00.001-05:00

Today the day for DFNS?

On Oct 5th on the blog I talked about DFNS needing to put out a release about a new order to get the momentum going ahead of the earnings release. Obviously that didn't happen.

Today is Nov. 14th I would think that the earnings release would be sometime today. Either before the market opens, during market opening, or as they tend to do after the market closes. The reason to do it after the market today is to still have 2 trading days for the week to trade the news. If they dumped it after tomorrow's close than all we would have left is Friday to trade. And I would assume that the quarter would be bad.

They have been late in the past as well but they tend to give revenue and earnings #'s in the late filing report. Hopefully we won't see that though.

I am looking for $4.3 million in revenue and .017 in EPS.

The stock price has fallen a bit to the low .50's. I picked up some more yesterday at .53. I have almost 19,000 shares of DFNS and it is my only holding. I may sell out of some of those shares depending on the quarterly report.

I highly doubt that I would sell out of my DFNS stockdoubling shares no matter where the DFNS stock goes (up or down) based on this quarters #'s. Unless they say they see a major slow down in growth coming even a fall into the low .40's or a little worse wouldn't scare me out probably. But I will keep you posted.

Those that aren't in DFNS. I think this offers good risk/reward at these levels. A person can basically buy the stock for .03 more than what I did 6 months ago. And there is a LOT more good news in the stocks in that 6 months. If another good quarter comes out I think this stock reaches .70+ sometime next week. If its bad news I think it could fall to the high .30's but would be a steal down there. (Assuming they aren't slowing growth in a major way which based on their comments doesn't seem to be the case.) I DON'T MAKE RECOMMENDATIONS!

I will update you when the earnings come out and my thoughts on it all.

Have a great day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS AT .53!!!

2007-11-07T11:24:00.000-05:00

You can buy DFNS for .53 as of this writing!!

Too me that just seems like a good deal. I have bought more in my IRA last week at a bit higher prices but at these levels I am going to try and buy some more for my regular account at .53. (I just bought an additional 1500 shares. I know have over 17,000 shares 8000 of which are for the stockdoubling account.)

If they have a breakeven quarter this stock goes down to around .40 which is .13 down. I can't foresee them losing money but if they did I guess they would go down a little more than that.

Even if they only do .01 for the quarter that means they have roughly .045 EPS for the year. Assume they only do .01 for Q4 and that is .055 for the year. At 10x PE you have a .55 stock.

I think of course they will do much better then that I think the earnings could look in the area of .07 for the year. Which if they do its at least a .70 stock minimum. That is .17 higher then current prices.

Also DFNS at .40 and 29 million shares outstanding would put the market cap at roughly $11.6 million. Well unless the revenues just fell something tremendous they should do in the area of $17-18 million for the year. That would mean that they would be trading at roughly .68 price to sales ratio. It should be trading more like 1.5 or so. A .40 stock would mean less than 2x Price to book ratio. And like I said roughly 10x PE ratio for the year.

In other words unless the wheels just totally came off this stock I don't see a lot of downside potential in this stock. And any downside potential I would think would be quickly brought back up to these current levels based on sales growth.

The company hasn't said anything negative at all. Actually been positive with their comments they see sales growth continuing.

It stinks to be in a dead money stock. I wouldn't quite consider DFNS as such but it has been sitting in the .50-.60 range for a while now.

If DFNS did $17 million for the year and had a 1.5 price to sales ratio this stock would be at .88. At those prices it is roughly a 4x Price to book. And if they do earn in the .07 range for the year that roughly a 12-13x PE ratio for a company that grew 60% for the year. Those are reasonable evaluations especially if the grow continues even at 30% for next year.

No I don't think DFNS is a $1.50 stock by any means but I don't think its a .40 stock either.

Hopefully the company comes out with a press release on new orders before Q3. And hopefully Q3 is .015-.02 in earnings.

Have a great trading day.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

www.Stockdoubling.org

DFNS a deal?

2007-11-06T14:46:00.000-05:00

Hello StockDoublers,

Nothing has changed with DFNS.

I think these prices will be looked on in the future as steals should we have a good quarter. But we will see how that goes.

I would like to see a good quarter but also a news announcement that they have more orders coming in that is just as important.

I won't have a StockDoubling Monthly pick until after the DFNS news comes out and at that time will put the website up etc..

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

StockDoubling Pick Update

2007-10-26T10:39:00.000-04:00

Sorry its been a while since last update.

I have been busy with Mike Huckabee campaign stuff, LazyTrading stuff, and the monthly project. Nothing really has changed from my recent comments on DFNS which you need to review.

I wanted to review this last StockDoubling pick of DFNS and the "other stocks" which were picked on April 9th. Which was just over 6 months ago.

You can review that days blog by clicking the link below to read my thoughts on each stock at that time etc..

http://stockdoubling.blogspot.com/2007/04/dfns-5th-pick-for-stockdoublingcom.html

The prices next to the stock are the April 9th prices. Only DFNS did I enter at that time so that is actual entry. The rest are based on the previous days close

DFNS .50 Since then the High has been .70 (Up as much as 40%) and the low has been .46 (Down as much as 8%). Currently the stock is the mid to upper .50's. You can read more about DFNS in recent posts.

GLDS .275 The symbol on this stock changed to AIRI. Since that time the stock has hit a high of .42 (Up as much as 52%) and a low of .22 (Down as much as 20%). Currently the stock is in the upper .20's.

AYSI .67 Since then the High has been .78 (up as much as 16%) and the low has been .30 (Down as much as 55%) Currently the stock is in the mid .60's. As we stated back on April 9th. It had run up quick so their was some risk for a correction. And it did correct but WAY too much. I bought in the upper .30's on the correction and sold a few weeks later in the mid .40's.

TSSW .76 Since then the high has been $2.09 (up as much as 175%) and the low has been .72 (Down as much as 5%). By far this has been the winner of the group. Being up the most and down the least. It took off only a few weeks after our post. Consolidated a bit a month or so ago and has taken off again. Currently the stock is around $2. This was a more than DOUBLE!!

CAGC $2.90 Since then the High has been $6.25 (up as much as 115%) and the low has been $2.05 (Down as much as 29%) Currently the stock is around $5.50. I bought when it came back down to the $2.40 level and road it up for a few weeks exiting in the $5's!! As I said back on April 9th. "As far as safety and longer term play I think this will probably be the one." And it has produced very well.

So out of the 5 stocks 2 of them have doubled within 6 months.
DFNS has been firmly up basically the whole time (though only around 10-20% for the most part.)
GLDS (AIRI) is also up but had to deal with some down times.
AYSI was a double from where I actually bought it in the mid .30's but not from the .67 levels.

Each of the stocks if you would have bought them back then you would currently be up nicely on all of them but AYSI (which is roughly break-even)

Again the project is to find 1 stock a year that doubles. Not in 3 months or 6 months but 1 year! We got spoiled on our early successes of GNBT, PSIT, AND HIHO. DFNS has taken longer then expect that is for sure. I still think we will do well with the stock though even if we have to endure a down faze to the .40's. I think if it did sell off it would have the same kind of reaction of a CAGC or AYSI has had where it gets in some bottom buyers and DFNS will again move up.

Unless the company really has a HORRIBLE Q3 DFNS should do at least $17.5 million for the year. With 29 million shares outstanding a 1 to 1 Price/sales ratio is .60 stock. It should also do at least .06 EPS for the year I would think closer to .07-.08. And it is growing so unless growth just dries up I think we have a winner. Say they do $17.5 million this year and grow 30% next year. (They grew 60-70% this year) That is roughly a $23 million in revenue and a .80 share price for 1 to 1 price to sales assuming the same 29 million shares. And if they earn .07 EPS this year and grow 30% next year that is .09 EPS for the year. At 12x PE that is $1.08 stock.
That of course is a long way away so a lot can still happen. But unless the wheels fall off sales or they can't handle expenses I still think DFNS will do well going forward.

Have a great weekend.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS THOUGHTS

2007-10-17T12:09:00.001-04:00

DFNS has a little bit of action today.

It hit a low of .55 today and has been in the .55-.56 range. Sometimes the ask bumps up to .58.

I bought 2,000 shares yesterday at .56 for my IRA and last week bought 1000 at .58 for my IRA.

Not much has changed from my post a few weeks ago.

I feel the company needs to come out with some positive news prior to their Q3 to get the thing moving. If no announcment comes I feel that a disappointment could be in store for Q3 #'s and could send the stock to the .40's.

If we do get an announcement I think we could be in the .60's prior to Q3 and move up nicely from there should we get a positive Q3 announcement.

The company should do $17-18 million in revenue for the year. It has roughly 29 million shares outstanding. So a .60 stock price would put the Price to sales at roughly 1. It has a book around .20 so Price to book is around 3. They have earned .035 roughly for the year so far I would think they could do .07-.08 for the year depending on how Q3 is. At .07 EPS for the year a .60 stock price would be 8.5x P/E. Growing at the rate that DFNS is growing at least this year I would think a 12x PE would be reasonable for them. Which would mean roughly .84 share price. I think if they could earn close to .10 EPS for next year and get a 12x PE you are talking over $1.20 share price. Which if they get the orders wouldn't take too much.

The question though is can they keep expenses under control? If they have a breakeven or losing quarter for Q3 this stock will probably go down to the low .40's if not lower. It has been a stalled stock as of late and a lot of people are feeling antsy so that is why we have drifted down as we have.

I still have a lot of faith in DFNS. I think their investor relations is lacking for sure and should offer more support that way. But that is one of the drawbacks as well when the CEO owns the majority of the shares.

This month will determine whether we see low .40's or mid .70's+.

Have a good day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

OUT OF CAGC AT $5.20 116% PROFIT

2007-10-11T10:14:00.001-04:00

I just sold my CAGC shares at $5.20.

Bought at $2.40 on August 17th.

That is a 116% profit in less then 2 months. I will take that. If it continues to run GREAT. But I am fine with that kind of return.

TATTF having a nice day so far as well.

Right now I only own 2 stocks

DFNS for the stockdoubling project. (And some shares in my IRA)

And

TATTF for the monthly stockdoubling project.

Have a great trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

CAGC WOW!!!

2007-10-10T08:24:00.000-04:00

Just 2 days ago I wrote about CAGC and said I thought it was still a good investment over the next 6-18 months with a target of $5-$7. Well it took off yesterday and almost hit $5 already!

I got in on August 17th less than 2 months ago at $2.40 which is a double in price based on yesterdays close.

I will monitor it today if we get higher prices above $5 per share I may consider an exit at that point. That was my target anyway and if its going to give me those kind of profits that quickly then I will take it. I probably won't sell for less than $5 though. I still think it is solid going forward and will do well. So I am not going to give it away.

TATTF which is the stock for the monthly project also did well yesterday that is up roughly 16% from my purchase price just 2 weeks ago.

DFNS had a little bit more volume a few more 10,000 share blocks are trading which is good and now it is in the higher end of the .50's range. That is the only stock that I have held lately that hasn't done really well. So maybe its due for a nice move coming we will see.

I will let you know what I do with CAGC.

Have a great trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Not available today

2007-10-09T09:24:00.001-04:00

I will be gone today at the GOP debate in Dearborn MI.

So if DFNS takes off or tanks or CAGC or TATTF do anything you will be on your own today.

You can watch the debate on cnbc at 4pm though or MSNBC at 9pm. It will also be streamed live on the cnbc site at www.cnbc.com

Go Mike Huckabee Go.

It should be a lot of fun

Have a great day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

CAGC moving today

2007-10-08T11:29:00.001-04:00

CAGC is up nicely today 17% as of this writing.

I don't see any news release but the volume is strong. Maybe a buyer coming in and felt any price below X was a deal I don't know.

I will take it though its up almost 40% since the purchase back a month + ago at $2.40. Still at these levels is a good price if willing to hold 6-18 months. I think $5-7 is a real possiblity in that time.

DFNS still hanging around the .55-.60 levels. Not much will change unless holders get sick of holding and dump their shares. Or the company comes out with another order release which would send the stock above .60 again I think. Otherwise we will be caught in the .55-.60 range more than likely.

TATTF (a stock for the monthly project is up nicely over the last 2 weeks.)

Thank you for taking part in the poll. I will have additional ones in the future.

Have a great trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

The stock market

2007-10-05T14:19:00.000-04:00

China stocks have been hot lately.
Some of the stocks I have looked at in the past or owned in the past have really moved over the last couple of weeks. They can be very rewarding and very scary at the same time.

We have a new poll on our blog check it out and vote it is on the left hand side.

DFNS is asking .56 right now. Which is tempting but I think could come down a few more cents. If it does I will probably buy some more for my IRA.

The next month will be EXTREMELY IMPORTANT FOR THE STOCK.

I think we need to see some kind of good news IE a new order BEFORE the Q3 earnings.
That will get the momentum going and assuming Q3 is strong we can spring up to the .70's-.80+.

If we don't get any news I think its going to be tough for a HUGE move up after Q3. I would also be cautious about what Q3 will say. This is a company that is based on new orders coming in. And although they have said demand is strong it can dry up in a hurry for numerous reasons.
So if their isn't an announcement about a new order by NOV 9TH. I would worried about the prospects of this stock. I don't think the downside is a ton unless of course they come out with a horrible Q3. IE losing money etc.. But I don't think the upside is around the corner either if they can't close some additional orders.

If you haven't checked out the monthly stock picks you really need to they have been on FIRE. Our current pick is up roughly 8% in just over a week. (TATTF)

http://stockdoublingmonthly.blogspot.com/

Have a great weekend.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Update on a few stocks etc...

2007-10-01T10:54:00.000-04:00

Happy Monday Morning,

1. AYSI has moved up a bunch today. We got out of the stock for a nice profit a couple of weeks ago at .44. (bought at .37) it hit a high of .69 today! If you stayed in that stock CONGRATS! A lot of volume with that stock not something I am interested in right now but a nice recovery from prices in the mid .30's.

2. DFNS just closed their 3rd quarter yesterday so we have to wait 45 days to hear what their 3rd quarter results will be. I would hope between now and then though we would see some announcements for additional orders etc.. We are still in profit with the stock so we have some wiggle room. But would hope for some prices in the low-mid .60's before the announcement I don't know if we will get their though without news.

3. CAGC also just closed their 3rd quarter yesterday. This will be a VERY important quarter for them. They would need to see some very good #'s in order for their estimates to hold true. I think after their 3rd quarter announcement (Nov. 15th) you will see this stock close to $4 or below $2. If they are bad I think people will just bail and move on. If its good they will jump on board. I am looking more for a 6-18 month investment so I will take the bumps in the road plus I have a good fill at $2.40 per share.

4. If you are interested in Forex Trading. I have my Forex trading software available for the next 2 weeks.
It can be found at www.LazyTrading.com It has a 8 week money back guarantee and 90 day Instant messenger support with me. Check it out if you are interested in forex trading.

Have a good trading day,

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

BeforeItMoves.com and TATTF

2007-09-28T14:08:00.000-04:00

Hello,
I wanted to let you know of a few things.

1. The stock videos I offer today is the last day to purchase the video course. It is how I find the stocks I pick for the StockDoubling projects. Sometime on Saturday morning I will remove the opportunity to purchase the videos and I will take them off the market.

So if you are interested go to www.BeforeItMoves.com

Its just $47 and has a 8 week Money Back Guarantee!

2. You really need to check out the Monthly StockDoubling Picks at

http://stockdoublingmonthly.blogspot.com/

I talk about TATTF today I think it is tremendously undervalued. Check it out if you are interested.

Have a great weekend.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

New Pick on the Monthly project

2007-09-26T12:52:00.001-04:00

If you are interested check out the Monthly StockDoubling Project at

http://stockdoublingmonthly.blogspot.com/

We look for 10-30% gains over a 60 day period.

WE MADE OUR NEW TRADE TODAY. (TATTF) CHECK OUT THE BLOG FOR THE DETAILS.

Have a great day

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Please check out our blog

2007-09-25T20:54:00.001-04:00

If you haven't checked out the Monthly StockDoubling Project blog yet you really need to.

http://stockdoublingmonthly.blogspot.com/

Just yesterday we talked about 2 stocks and their potential.

One is up about 25% since that post.

The other one is up 50% TODAY alone!!! It hit almost $8 today and I bought it just a few weeks ago at $3.89!!!

On that blog you will find a sign up box to get email updates on that project. Make sure you join if that is something you are interested in.

CAGC moved up nicely today back to $3 per share! You could have been bought yesterday around $2.40!!

DFNS is the same holding in the mid/upper .50's on lower volume and I don't see that changing until News comes out. Sunday September 30th is the last day of their Q3. So we would see their 10Q within 45 days of that date. I was hoping to hear some news before the end of the month on new orders which could impact Q4 but their hasn't been anything yet.

Make sure if you are serious about trading and want me to show you how I find my stocks to trade. PLEASE PLEASE PLEASE check out the

www.BeforeItMoves.com

Site where via video I show you step by step how I do my research. After Friday those videos go off the market!

Have a great day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

New baby is here!

2007-09-19T20:06:00.000-04:00

My wife gave birth to a 9 lb baby boy this morning.

I am writing this from our hospital room.

Mother and baby are doing great. Elijah is his name FYI.

I will be out of commission dealing with family things until Monday.

So you are on your own with trading.

Nothing has changed with my DFNS and CAGC positions I am still in them until further notice.

Have a good night
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

BeforeItMoves.com LAST CHANCE!!

2007-09-17T12:47:00.001-04:00

I have decided to remove the http://www.beforeitmoves.com/ videos from the net.

As of September 28th 2007 they will no longer be available for purchase EVER AGAIN.

I have also lowered the price to $47 so anyone that wants to get the videos and learn how I find the stocks I purchase now is the time. (Those that purchased the package will continue to be able to access the videos past that date.)

The time WILL NOT BE EXTENDED.

And we still do have an 8 week money back guarantee on the product.

In the videos I show you step by step how I find the stocks I use for the StockDoubling project. Even if you don't have the desire to learn it now you may want to consider purchasing it for future use. As I said it will NEVER BE SOLD AGAIN AFTER SEPTEMBER 28TH.

http://www.beforeitmoves.com/ to check it out.

Have a great trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

2 week FREE trial to Trading Site

2007-09-17T09:32:00.000-04:00

FREE Trial time is running out

If you haven't heard, the support team at MarketClub has opened the doors to their investment education service for Alley Cat news members at no cost!

They contacted me and said "Steve we have a free 2 week trial we want your members to take advantage of before it's too late".

Naturally, I wanted to pass it on to you! So if you haven't already taken your free 2 week trial , do so here with my compliments:

http://ino.directtrack.com/z/74/CD35/

Just to let you know, this offer expires September 20th, so you have 3 days to get your free trial and education in.

Happy Trading
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Sold AYSI, Update on CAGC and DFNS

2007-09-14T13:51:00.001-04:00

Happy Friday,

I sold my AYSI shares (1500) in my IRA today at .44.

I bought them at .37 on September 4th. (You can read the blog on that date for more info on it etc..)

10 days and it gave me 15%+ after commissions I will take that. Nothing has really changed on the stock I still think the same things as I did back on September 4th. But if I can get that good of return that quickly I will take it.

If it falls back down to the mid/upper .30's I will consider getting in again but at this point I will just take my profits.

So as of now I just own CAGC and DFNS in my IRA. (In at $2.40 on CAGC read the August 27th blog for details on that. I look at CAGC as more of a 6-18 month stock that is why I am still in that even though that is up 15% in only a couple weeks as well)

I also own shares of DFNS for the stockdoubling project account.

As far as DFNS goes it is trading between .55-.60 lately. I can forsee it drifting down a bit until Q3 news. Assuming of course they don't come out with a news release on new orders etc...
I don't see any reason for the stock to trade outside the range of .50-.60 until further news comes out. If bad news comes out it could go below .50. If its good we will be back above .60 again.

The stockdoubling project entry was at .50 so even at .55 its still up 10%. No that isn't a ton but it is better than nothing. And unless bad news comes out I don't see a lot of downside risk past that point.

Those that get tried of waiting tend to exit their stock at these prices and move on to the next "HOT" stock. That has been my problem in the past and I won't do that with the StockDoubling project. Unless something changes with DFNS as far as sales/earnings/shares outstanding/etc... I plan on holding my position until $1 or at least close to it.

If the company doesn't come out with any more news the next time we can expect news is around Nov. 14th for the Q3 news. Which is 2 months from now I would think the company will have something to say about something between now and then though.

If the stock continues to drift down to the low .50's I will consider picking up some additional shares for my IRA and personal account.

Have a good weekend
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Monthly StockDoubling picks a HIT!!

2007-09-13T09:51:00.001-04:00

Our first pick for the monthly stockdoubling pick was a nice 15% winner in less than a week!!!

If you haven't checked out my new blog on that you need to.

http://stockdoublingmonthly.blogspot.com/

The pick was NOEC and we bought it at $3.89 on Friday.
Today we sold it at $4.50 for a 15% gain!

Not sure when I will have my next pick but that one was a winner already!

have a great trading day.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

2nd child due soon

2007-09-10T18:33:00.000-04:00

My wife and I are due to have our 2nd child within a week Lord willing. (Well I guess my wife is actually having the baby. :> )

So if I don't post on my blogs for a while you may know that I am out for a while doing the family thing for a bit. So if my stocks spike and I don't report on it just hold tight I will get to it when I can.

If you would like to donate to help pay the medical costs of the child there is a button on the left side of this blog. You can donate via Paypal or credit card (thru Paypal) I would greatly appreciate it. So if you have made some money from the StockDoubling project please feel free to give. Even if you haven't made money yet from the project but like the concept and idea I would love to hear from you.

If you missed Friday's post please read it. Those looking for some more trading need to check it out.

Have a great day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

2 week Free Trial to trading site

2007-09-10T07:20:00.000-04:00

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All my best,
Steve hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Today is potentially the first day of the rest of your trading career.

NEW PROJECT UPDATE

2007-09-07T11:10:00.001-04:00

Sorry for the lack of posts.

I have been extremely busy lately. I am tutoring my Nephew in a couple of subjects this year. I am helping my brother out with his trucking company. I am trying to get the house and work in order before our 2nd child comes which could be any day from now. (Due date Sept 17th)

And since DFNS doesn't move much not much to report.

I have done some research on the New Project which is the monthly picks.

I will be picking 1-2 stocks a month for the new project that I think can move 10-30% over the next 30-60 days. I will put $500-700 into each pick and see what happens.

THIS IS NO WAY CHANGES THE STOCKDOUBLING PROJECT. THAT IS MY MAIN CONCERN AND I THINK IS A MUCH BETTER DEAL LONG TERM THAN DOING THESE MONTHLY PICKS. SO IF YOUR FUNDS ARE LIMITED PLEASE ONLY STICK WITH THE STOCKDOUBLING PROJECT.

This new project is for those who want to have some more action and already have some money in the StockDoubling project.

I will NOT be posting the picks for this new project on this blog. I do not want to confuse things at all. This is a totally seperate project. So you won't hear much about it on this blog.

Their will actually be another email list for those people as well.

You can find all the details on the New blog for that project at

http://stockdoublingmonthly.blogspot.com/

IF YOU HAVE NO INTEREST IN THE NEW PROJECT NO PROBLEM NOTHING HAS CHANGED!!!

IF you do have an interest in that project though go to

http://stockdoublingmonthly.blogspot.com/

And follow the information their. I may even have my first pick later today September 7th for that.

Have a great day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

AYSI PURCHASE FOR MY IRA

2007-09-04T14:38:00.000-04:00

I just bought 1500 shares of AYSI for my IRA at .37.

AYSI was one of my other stocks back in April and it has fallen hard since then.

It is a small company should do only about $7 million in revenue or so for the year. They are currently in the last month of their Q4. So won't hear annual news until around Christmas time.

The company is run by 2 guys in their 60's whom combined own about 73% of the outstanding shares. They haven't issued more shares in a good while. (17 million outstanding.)

I think it is a decent play at these levels if you are willing to wait 6 months or so. I don't see it jumping big but I don't see a huge drop from these levels either.

They have done .034 EPS for the first 9 months of the year. If they do another .011 for Q4 that would be .045 EPS for the year. At 10x PE its a .45 stock and they are growing in a big way. They are under 1 P/S for my projected #'s. About 2.5x book value.

Alot of volume today so a lot of turnover for today.

I didn't put a lot into it but I am willing to hold this one for a little while and see what happens.

I own 3 stocks in the IRA. AYSI, DFNS, CAGC each I think have little downside from my purchase price.

(CAGC has had a nice run the last week+) I plan on holding each of them for 6 months unless I see their prices get too overheated. (DFNS I WOULD LOVE TO SELL IN NOVEMBER JUST DEPENDS ON THEIR #'S.)

Have a good Tuesday
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

New Project I need your picks

2007-08-30T19:24:00.000-04:00

The New stock project I will release after labor day in a nutshell is the following....

Find 1 maybe 2 stocks in a month that I think over the next 30-60 days can move up 10-30%. I will personally put in $400-$600 in each stock and sell them after it hits the target. (Which of course you will know about etc..)

The stock picks will be FREE no monthly charges at this time I just will have a donation page up if the picks are good you can donate etc.. We will see how it goes for the first couple of months that way and reevaluate it down the road.

I think the stock market is in for a wild ride (both up and down) over the next 2 months so it is an interesting time to start this project but I will give it a go.

If your funds are limited I would NOT take any money out of the stockdoubling project stock in order to do this. The StockDoubling project is for long term gains. And one of the reasons I started it is because I jumped in and out of stocks too much. And maybe its a mistake doing this new project only time will tell but I am not touching my stockdoubling project $$$ for this.

It is for fun and a way hopefully to make some money off the additional stocks that I like etc.. I will be doing the same process I use when finding StockDoubling picks so the #'s will be their it won't be based on HYPE etc..

Those of you whom have purchased the BeforeItMoves.com Stock Video/Ebook if you have suggestions on stocks to look at I would LOVE to hear them. I will take a look at them and maybe it will be the first pick for this new project.

I will have a new site and list and blog for this new project probably sometime next week. So that it isn't confusing those who just want to be on the StockDoubling project list.

So if (and ONLY IF) if you purchased the Beforeitmoves.com Stock Videos and if you have a stock please email me the stock and your thoughts on it.

Send to alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net with the topic "New Project Stock".

FYI I would also suggest not doing this project if you are going to be putting in less then $250 in a stock. Commissions will be roughly $14 by the time you buy and sell the stock. So if the gain is 10% or $25 on $250 its $11 profit. If you are doing less then $250 minimum I wouldn't suggest doing it, it may not be worth it after all the fees etc.. Each stock will be different some I will look for 10% some 30% etc..

Let me know your stocks and your thoughts on the new project.

Have a great day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

This is what I just did

2007-08-29T12:51:00.001-04:00

I wanted to let you know of what I just did.

I sold 2450 from my regular scottrade account. But bought 2000 shares in my IRA of DFNS.

So now I have 8000 shares (StockDoubling account) of DFNS

I have 2000 DFNS in my IRA (which is actually going to be used for a trip in early 2008 if DFNS produces well by then.)

I also have 500 shares of CAGC in my IRA as well. Which as of right now will be left in for a while 6-12 months looking for a good return on that.

Anyway I wanted to let you know about the changes.

AGAIN NOTHING HAS CHANGED IN THE STOCKDOUBLING PROJECT AT ALL.

I had to move the shares around a little bit though due to the new stock project that I will start after Labor day. (Which was discussed on this blog a month + ago)

I have a bunch of free trades available in my regular account so I needed to free up some money in that account in order to purchase the NEW stocks for this new stock project that I will discuss after Labor day.

AGAIN I STILL HAVE CONFIDENCE IN DFNS AND DO NOT PLAN ON SELLING MY STOCKDOUBLING PROJECT SHARES OF DFNS ANYTIME SOON.

I wanted to let you know for full disclosure reasons.

If you are still looking for passive $$$ and the goal of the $1 million after 11 stocks etc.. I still think the StockDoubling project is the way to go. That will NOT change even with this new project.

The new project is strictly for those people who would like to see some more action rather than waiting on the stockdoubling project. (They should still have money in the stockdoubling project.)

Anyway I will let you know more information on that when its available.

Have a great trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS Q3 ESTIMATES

2007-08-28T10:42:00.001-04:00

Here are my estimates for Q3 for DFNS. (which ends September 30th but will be announced November 15th or so.)

Just rough #'s there is no way to know for sure. I think the revenue #'s could be close but its so hard to say with the earnings due to so many different expenses that vary each quarter but here are my guesses etc...

ALL INFORMATION IS STRICTLY BASED ON PRESS RELEASES FROM THE COMPANY OR PAST QUARTERLY REPORTS.

Revenues
-----------------
Local Civilian $800,000 (this tends to be about there average each quarter.)
Export Civilian $300,000 (If you look at backlog in the Q2 which is on page 13 they list $600k for US I took 1/2 of that # to be filled in Q3.)
Local Military $1,500,000 (Page 12 of Q2 report says they expect to do $3 million for the rest of the year. I took 1/2 that # to be filled in Q3)
Export Military $1,700,000 (Press release August 8th $1.2 million order due in Q3. Also backlog page 13 of Q2 report had $1.4 million I took $500k of that for Q3)

So that is a total of $4.3 million in revenue.

Is that down from Q2? YES As I said before I felt that Q2 would be the largest revenue quarter for DFNS for that year. That is why I was a little disappointed with the big tax issues DFNS faced in Q2. Otherwise we could have seen .03 for the quarter and this stock would be in the .80 range right now instead of .60.

As far as earnings this is where it gets tricky but I figured I would put the #'s out anyway.

$800,000 revenue. Local Civilian so far for the 6 months has been a 13% profit margin. I put a 10% margin on it for Q3 so $80,000 profits
$300,000 revenue. Export Civilian so far for the 6 months has been a 20% profit margin. I put a 15% margin on it for Q3 so $45,000 profits.
$1,500,000 revenue. Local Military so far for the 6 months has been a 24% profit margin. I put a 20% margin on it for Q3 so $300,000 profits.
$1,700,000 revenue. Export Military so far for the 6 months has been a 20% profit margin. I put a 15% margin on it for Q3 so $255,000 profits.

So a total of $4.3 million in revenue and $680,000 in profits.

Take 25% out for taxes ($170,000)

Down to $510,000 in net profits. (OF COURSE THIS DOESN'T INCLUDE CURRENCY EXCHANGE ETC..)

Which is about .017 EPS for the quarter. (They did $3.9 million in Q1 revenue and $478,000 in net income)

Add that to the other profits and after Q3 stands at roughly .053 EPS for the year.

AGAIN JUST A ROUGH ESTIMATE BUT UNLESS they keep a bunch back for Q4 I think the revenue #'s I presented here will be within 300-400k +/-.

Have a great day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

CAGC and DFNS update

2007-08-27T07:28:00.001-04:00

Hello StockDoubling members,

Sorry I haven't updated I was out of town for a while with the funeral etc..

I did end up listening to the conference call on CAGC's 2nd quarter earnings. It is very interesting and if any of you have an interest in the stock it is something you would want to listen to. (It is around 45-50 minutes the first part and the Q&A are the most interesting. You could skip thru the financial readings etc..)

The stock fell like a rock after earnings and fell some more after the call. I did buy some at $2.40 a share (500 shares) and will hold for more longer term. (I bought for my IRA) I think it could be a double in price over the next 12-18 months for sure at these levels. Currently trading a little over 1x P/S for this year. Even with all the issues they should earn .20-.30 I would think for the year. Which would be in the less than 10x PE ratio.
It could go down further if a ticked off investor decides to dump it. But based on a longer term horizon I think they are in good shape going forward. Their may be some bumps in the road but I think its a solid play for those willing to hold a year+.

As far as DFNS, not much is new since last posting. Still in the high .50's or low .60's. The next 2 weeks or so hopefully we get a news release about more orders which would effect this year's earnings. Any news release about new orders will bump up the stock price a little bit at least.

We are in a good position where we are UP in the stock now just waiting for a bigger payoff. It's better then being down a little bit and having to wait for a turnaround. So we have some breathing room even if the stock was to go down a little bit.

later this week I will give my estimates for Q3 for DFNS.

Have a great trading day.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

wild market

2007-08-17T11:18:00.000-04:00

DFNS took a hit yesterday with the rest of the market.

It was a wild ride on the DOW.
And with the Fed cut rates has helped stocks a bit.

Its a good thing I didn't sell DFNS to buy CAGC. It got hammered after its earnings.

And was way down yesterday. A great buying opportunity for those willing to hold for a year+.

The company projects about .32 EPS this year based on the outstanding shares now. Not a ton of downside unless the market crashes or something. Their 2nd quarter was disappointing but I think it will still do quite well over a year+.

They had a conference call you can listen to via yahoo if you are interested in the stock check that out first. (I haven't listened to it yet.)

Due to the death of my wife grandmother (92). I will be traveling and attending the funeral etc.. so unless something MAJOR happens with DFNS I won't be having a blog on Monday or Tuesday of next week.

Have a great weekend.

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS press release is out

2007-08-16T10:00:00.001-04:00

DFNS came out with their press release. They didn't say a whole lot expect this....

"Our enhanced sales and marketing efforts are already paying off, as we are receiving new orders from new significant customers world-wide. An example of this is our recently announced order for a body armor product from a new client from a CIS country."

So that is good news for future orders.

I would like to see some more order announcements between now and mid September to have any effect on this years revenue and earnings.

Anything after that probably won't effect this years earnings at all.

So unless we hear from the company about new orders etc... We won't hear from them again until mid November with the 3rd quarter earnings release.

The StockDoubling project is a 1 year project per stock. (though we have done it on average less then 4 months for the other ones) We are only 4 months into DFNS and we are still up over 20% right now. Not amazing but still what many people would LOVE over 1 year.

Assuming the company doesn't come out with bad news. (IE lost contracts, lawsuit, issuing more shares etc...) I wouldn't think the stock should see much lower than around .50 (which is our purchase point.)

Assuming the company doesn't come out with good news. (IE new orders, buyback, buying company etc..)
I wouldn't think the stock should see much higher than .70.

So I think we are range bound in the .50-.70 range for a while.
I think their is more possibility of GOOD news over the next 3 months then their is bad news though.

I still think its a good medium term buy if you can get it for .50. But short term its a little top heavy at .70

I am in and looking forward to good news coming from DFNS.

Have a good trading day.

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Sold some DFNS IRA shares

2007-08-15T13:58:00.001-04:00

I sold my shares I had in my IRA for DFNS.

(4700 shares at .64)

I wanted to free up some cash for the monthly stock selections I will be having hopefully later this month or after Labor day.

I still feel confident in DFNS. However I don't know that it will run too high unless they get some big order announcements.

I also didn't like the fact I was 100% into DFNS and didn't have any cash on the sidelines or another stock. (I still own the 8000 shares of DFNS for the stockdoubling project and another 2450 shares for my personal account.)

We could be stuck in the .50-.70 range for a while unless we see some news from the company on new orders etc..
The revenue # was GREAT. The earnings # was OK at best. Without the big tax issues I think we would have seen .70+ today.

The company should come out with a Press release either today or tomorrow I would think just giving their thoughts and future comments which could bump the stock a little bit.

Next earnings release isn't until mid Nov. I will give projections on that in future blog postings etc...

Currently I am sitting tight on the stockdoubling project shares.

I don't see a reason why it should trade less than .50 but don't see a reason why it should trade more than .70+ right now either. UNLESS WE GET SOME MORE NEWS ON ORDERS FROM THE COMPANY!

Have a good trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS EARNINGS RELEASED

2007-08-15T06:33:00.001-04:00

Earnings for DFNS were released after the bell on Tuesday August 14th.

Overall it is pretty good news.

Highlights.... Margins are UP and company says will stay up. Revenue is nice at $5.6 million Didn't issue many more shares still under 29 million. Backlog still around $7 million after big revenues. Lowlights.... Taxes got WHACKED!!! Almost 50% taxes due to interest and issues dating back to 2002. I would like to know for sure if that is totally handled now? That is almost .01 EPS right there because of that. Currency exchange got hit on that. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
A very good report based on what I see. Not an out of the park report due to the tax issues but very good.

Earnings were just under .02 (They rounded up to .02)

One of the reasons I wanted .025+ on earnings is because I think this will be DFNS biggest quarter for the year.

I don't foresee $1 any time soon. But I don't think it will hit .30 either.

As far as where it will go today I don't really know. Without the tax issue I think it could have hit the high.70's. Because of it could go down a some or up a little.

I may or may not exit some of my excess shares that I have if I get a good price for them. I WILL NOT SELL MY STOCKDOUBLING SHARES AT THIS TIME.

I will post more on today's price action after the market opens.
DFNS should probably also have a press release come out as well sometime today.

Have a good trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Interesting trading for DFNS

2007-08-14T07:10:00.001-04:00

Good morning,

DFNS traded 30,000+ shares in the last 5 minutes of trading yesterday. Which is about 1/2 of what they did ALL DAY.

Most of it was at .62 as well. Although in the grand scheme of things that isn't a lot of volume overall its a nice sign that possibly someone knows something (or think they know something) and want to get in before the announcement.

Historically DFNS has been late on their filings more often then on time. We will see if they are on time this time around. I would think they would be based on the momentum that is gaining in the stock. It would be silly to be late this time around as it may get a few investors edgy about it.

Last November they released their earnings on the 14th (a day early) that is the only time I see in the last year+ they have done that. So I would think tomorrow would be the day. When they announce (before or after the bell) I have no idea.

But I think today would be the last full day to get the stock before the earnings release.

Maybe their problem will be its so much money to count they need a couple of extra days. LOL I could live with that I guess.

I still expect a 15th earnings release and .02+ EPS.

I'll keep you posted on things once the earnings are out. It will take me an hour or so to review the release and write up something for the blog.

Have a great trading day.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Interesting week ahead

2007-08-13T06:31:00.001-04:00

It should be an interesting week for stocks.

Not only on the whole stock market with the credit and interest rate issues but also and more importantly for us the stocks that I have a watch on.

It has been just over 4 months since our 5th pick for the stockdoubling blog. (April 9th)

Out of the 5 stocks mentioned at that time, 1 has doubled (TSSW) 1 is down (AYSI) and the other 3 are up (DFNS, CAGC,AIRI)

DFNS, CAGC, and AIRI all have their quarterly #'s release this week so it should be interesting.

I only own DFNS at this time. But I would expect to see good #'s from the other 2 as well. (Though I haven't really followed AIRI that much)

I think all 3 of those stocks will have BIG revenue increases the key will be if they can turn that into EARNINGS.

I have no idea what the earnings will be on any of the stocks. It will depend on if they are issuing more shares, more expenses than first thought etc..

On DFNS specifically the company continues to announce new orders and the CEO continues to say that things look good for the future. I will take him at his word if they are turning that new revenue into EARNINGS we have a winner. If not then we will have to wait it out for a while.

DFNS needs to announce by August 15th so we will see what happens then.
Have a good trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

August 9th news for the blog

2007-08-09T19:38:00.001-04:00

I considered selling some shares in DFNS today at .62 (only for my IRA)

Currently I only have DFNS in both my stockdoubling account and my IRA I have no other stocks and no other money in my accounts so like I said I am ALL IN on DFNS.

I had my order in but it didn't get filled I was planning on purchases some shares of CAGC. They should come out with their Q2 August 15th as well. And historically that is their biggest quarter. Even though they have added a bunch of shares I still look for a monster quarter. It wasn't going to be a long term hold just look for a pop back to the $3.50-$3.80 range.

And the only reason I was going to do it is so I could be a bit diversified although I feel DFNS will have a monster quarter I don't want to necessary be at its mercy if it doesn't.

I am not willing to sell lower though so if I find an exit at .62 on DFNS prior to earnings I may still take it.
ONLY FOR 2700 shares in my IRA. I OWN OVER 15,000 SHARES.

8000 shares for the STOCKDOUBLING project which WON'T be sold until $1 unless otherwise noted.
2450 shares for a personal account that if all turns out well will be a nice trip for my wife this winter.
4700 shares for my IRA (of which I would sell 2700 to buy 500 shares of CAGC)

Anyway I didn't get the price I wanted so I didn't sell. I don't have an order in at this time if I do see that price I will sell some shares. (assuming CAGC doesn't come out with earnings prior to that.)

Thought I would keep you posted.

Dealing with that much money all in one stock and being that it is all my money at my brokers right now with none on the sidelines thought I would diversify a bit.

If I had only a couple thousand or less I wouldn't worry about it.

AGAIN THIS HAS NOTHING TO DO WITH THE STOCKDOUBLING PROJECT SHARES. I DON'T PLAN ON SELLING THOSE SHARES UNTIL WE HIT $1 AT THIS POINT.

Talk to you friday
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS $1.2 million contract news

2007-08-08T12:03:00.000-04:00

DFNS just came out with news on a new order.

$1.2 million new order should deliver in Q3.

here is some other notes about the news release.

"Joseph Postbinder, CEO of Defense Industries said: "We are extremely pleased with this initial order for this customer. An important factor in this customer's decision was our ability to deliver a competitive quality product in a prompt manner. In addition to enhancing our momentum in the Israeli military market, we have been focusing our efforts on expanding our international reach. Our sales and marketing efforts are already paying off, as we are receiving new orders from new significant customers world-wide. Moreover, as we noted at the beginning of the year, when we announced our first orders from the Israeli Defense Ministry, we are continuing to witness a shift in the Israeli Defense Ministry's attitude towards the importance of personal military protective equipment. We see the stream of orders from the Israeli Defense Ministry as an ongoing source of revenues for us and we anticipate significant growth opportunities in this domestic military market segment in the future."

You can view the entire news release at

http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/070808/20070808005693.html?.v=1

This $1.2 million and the $1.5 million news a couple weeks ago is great news. Based on past margins (doesn't mean they will get those margins on these orders.) these 2 orders mean $2.7 million in revenue and mean almost $500,000 of gross earnings. That is .01-.015 gross earnings per share. And in the .01 EPS which at a 10x PE is a .10 move in the stock.

6 more trading days until the Q2 release.

DFNS went from 0 volume to about 50,000 volume in 30 minutes on the news and is up a few cents.

Have a great trading day.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Blowout or disappointing? No inbetween

2007-08-07T09:38:00.000-04:00

The more I think and look at DFNS.

I think DFNS will either have a blowout quarter or a very disappointing quarter. I don't think it will be anywhere in between.

By a blowout quarter I mean $5+ million in revenue and .02+ in EPS.
By a disappoint quarter I mean $4 million or less in revenue and breakeven or lower EPS.

The more I look at the #'s I see myself either being dead on with the positive #'s. Or WAY OFF which would be the disappointing #'s. I also don't like the reaction the share price has been giving lately now under .60 again.

I think after the #'s we will either see .80's for share prices on a blowout quarter or .40's for a disappointing quarter.

Based on the comments from management I would tend to still say they will be blowout. However the key is can they turn the revenue into earnings!!

7 more trading days until we find out.

As far as the monthly stock selections (3 picks a month etc..) I still have plans for that but I don't want to unroll that until I have the time needed to provide all the picks etc.. Doing the research etc.. So it will probably be the tail end of August before that is going to be released.

have a great trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS 1 YEAR CHART

2007-08-06T10:00:00.001-04:00

Here is a 1 year chart of DFNS with some additional thoughts from me.

Just click the image for a bigger picture.

have a good day

Steve Hoven

alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

StockDoubling Weekend

2007-08-03T16:38:00.001-04:00

Hello StockDoubling members,

8 more trading days for DFNS. Before the big news arrives. Hopefully its really good news for us.

Those that are now just following us check out the April 9th edition of the blog at www.StockDoubling.org for information on DFNS.

If the news is good picking it up at .59 should be good trade. If the news is bad it could be a little while before we see those prices again.

We will see how it works out. Just put yourself in front of good opportunities hopefully this is one of them.

Remember to check out the Beforeitmoves.com site today or early Saturday.

I will be raising the price on Saturday to $97. (Currently just $47)

It is almost 1 hour worth of videos on how I find stocks to buy for my own account and for the stockdoubling project. If you plan on trading for years to come it is a great tool to use to evaluate stocks.

www.BeforeItMoves.com

Have a great weekend.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Donations, Beforeitmoves, DFNS sign?

2007-08-02T09:40:00.000-04:00

Thank you for all those who have donated to the stockdoubling.com project lately I appreciate it.

For those of you who don't know I have a donation link on the www.StockDoubling.com site. If you feel so inclined based on your results of trading to donate to site check out the bottom of the stockdoubling.com page.

We are a free site as of now and the donations help keep it that way.

Beforeitmoves.com Stock Video ebook price will be raised on Saturday at some point. I got the clearance from clickbank so it will be ready to move up to its new price on Saturday.

In the videos I show you exactly how I find stocks myself to trade.

Here is a portion of a testimonial I recently received about the videos...

"Good Morning Steve and Greetings from New ZealandI purchased the stock doubling video as soon as you put it on the market.Just wanted to say thanks. I am have a ball with it. I even run all thespam stock picks thru it for practice and can see them for what they are.The biggest benefit to me is the knowledge I am gaining by researching theshort list.Keep up the good work Steve you are doing a great job.Regards Rod M."

www.Beforeitmoves.com remember we offer an 8 week money back guarantee.

As far as DFNS I don't expect any big movement one way or the other before the Q2 earnings release (August 15th). I wouldn't think they would put out another press release prior to earnings. (If they had another release I would put it after Q2 earnings to get more momentum from the press release just my opinion.)

Watch a day or two prior to August 15th if their is good volume and an up or down direction in the stock at that time it may be an indication of where the stock is going. (someone may have gotten wind of news.)

Have a great Thursday.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

2 weeks from TODAY!

2007-08-01T09:32:00.000-04:00

2 weeks to go before DFNS needs to report their Q2 #'s.

They can report early. In the past though they have been on the deadline day OR have been late.

When they are late though they tend to post in the report stating their late what the #'s are as far as revenue and earnings.

No idea if they will release the #'s after the bell or before the bell or what.

Here is a breakdown of what I think the stock could do based on different earnings #'s. A lot more goes into it. But I didn't have a lot to say in today's blog so I thought I would post this.

If they do .03+ EPS for the quarter I think the stock goes to .90-$1+
If they do .02+ EPS for the quarter I think the stock goes to the .70-.90 range.
If they do less then .02 EPS for the quarter I think the stock goes to the .50-.70 range.
If they do less then .01EPS for the quarter I think it goes to .40-.50's range.

I personally feel the .02+EPS for the quarter or .70-.90 range is doable. Which if I am right today's prices of .61 are a good deal. But I am hoping for .03EPS.

I don't think the risk is much less then .40 unless they come out with a losing quarter or something. Even at .40 that is about 20% down on the stock so we wouldn't be down too bad. Not the direction I want to go but still lots of room for error at least right now.

Have a great day.
10 more trading days until Q2!

Remember the Beforeitmoves.com stock videos price goes up later this week.
www.Beforeitmoves.com

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

BeforeItMoves.com Price Increase

2007-07-31T08:28:00.001-04:00

BeforeItMoves.com Stock Video Ebook price is jumping hopefully later this week.

Currently just $47 for the Stock Video package of how I find stocks to pick for the StockDoubling project. That price will more than double to its normal $97 price late this week. (Depending on clickbank approval)

So if you want to save $50 check out the site now.

You will still have an 8 week money back gurantee so if it isn't for you. Get a full refund.

I will be using these same videos for the other stock project that is coming online that will be available next month. I use this information to find the stocks that I feel have great potential for gains.

The information in the videos is what I use each and every time I am looking for stocks to buy myself.
Whether you are looking for longer term horizons or short term this can help.

Here is one example of a stock I covered back on May 24th 2006 (14 months ago) It was part of the "OTHER" stocks for stockdoubling.com
(The following was written for the May 24th stockdoubling email in which I covered PSIT.)

"TBSI $5.90 This company is making good money should earn well over $1 EPS this year. It is trading at 3-5X P/E and is just below book value. Has good value and could be a good double. Down side it is in a down trend on the chart and I don't know that it is finished going down yet. Oil prices effect this company. Maybe the safest pick of the bunch if you hold for a while. But could go under $5 as well."

If you look at a chart for TBSI you can see its amazing run its had. The downtrend wasn't quite over at the end of May it got down to the low $5's as thought but holding it for this 14 months would have returned a HUGE profit! It hit $39.99 just a week or so ago!!! I never owned the stock myself but putting myself in front of SOLID stocks to own gives a great opportunity to make good money.

Or even just as recent as April 9th 2007. One of our "OTHER" stocks was TSSW.

(This was posted on our blog on April 9th)

"TSSW .76 This stock has also moved up a bit in the last month or two. They are also a very small company having revenue of just over $3 million for 2006. But they made .06 EPS and grew about 100% last year. They seem to have things together and their websites (which is how they sell) are ever increasing in hits each month. They also have plans for other products that could increase revenues. Insiders own a good deal of this stock (35%) Issue is I am looking for a double in price or $1.50 can this stock get there. A $1.50 stock price would mean a $20 million marketcap for a company that may do $5 million this year in revenue. EPS does matter but where will they be even with .10 EPS for the year I would need a 15 x EPS. Which for the industry they are in is very low but it is also a small stock. I think it has potential to go higher I would like to see a bit lower price though first."

If you check a chart for TSSW you can see a move to OVER $1.90 a share. It has since fallen after a BIG MOVE UP. I would still think the stock should trade in the $1.00-$1.80 range the rest of the year. Again getting in front of a nice move can make you money. Thats why I called it BEFOREITMOVES!

Check out www.BeforeItMoves.com to get your Stock Video Ebook. It is how I trade!

Have a great trading day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Various news

2007-07-30T12:03:00.001-04:00

Both HIHO and CAGC have had nice runs the last couple weeks. Looks like I got out of both in bad spots.

HIHO especially last week it rose to over $5 a share. And they haven't even announced a dividend. Doesn't look like they will either.

They have had other news releases which seem to be good for the longer term. Though I don't like it right now.

CAGC has moved as well.

Nothing new on DFNS I think it offers good risk/reward for the shorter term. Assuming they were able to turn their revenue into earnings.

If they lose money or earn very little the stock could fall to the .40's or low .50's on a quick reaction.

Based on what the company says though the revenues look strong.

FYI I never did hear back from DFNS investor relations on the questions that I had.

Have a good Monday.

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

What is DFNS downfall?

2007-07-26T14:50:00.000-04:00

I don't like the fact of no momentum being seen in the DFNS stock price.

The big seller may be moving some of his shares but I can't imagine he can get out of all of them at these levels.

My only concerns I really have with DFNS is if they continue to have a big backlog and not moving that to revenue. (Would be disappointed with any revenue lower than $5 million this quarter.) The revenue is their for the taking just depends how they want to spread it out etc.. Things can get pushed back more and more.

And whether their margins hold up and are able to produce the profits needed. They will have a LOT more admin salaries going out due to the big revenue growths so that will hurt them a bit.

Assuming they aren't going to issue a bunch more shares to look at other businesses etc.. I think they can produce good $$$.

Assuming one time charges and currency exchanges don't effect profits too much I would think .02+ is doable for the quarter. Which would mean roughly .04 eps for the year so far. I think they can do at least that in the 2nd half of the year as well. Which means probably a .08-.10EPS for the year.
Based on a 10x PE ratio that is a .80-$1 stock. I think this stock could command a 12-15x PE though since it is growing at such a good rate. (revenue should grow roughly 60-80% for the year)

At a 12 x PE on .08-10EPS is .96-$1.20
At a 15x PE on .08-.10EPS is $1.20-$1.50

Worst case unless something goes really bad I would imagine they would earn at least .06 EPS for the year. Even with a 10x PE that is a .60 stock which is where we sit now.

I think the issue with many investors is they want to see the earnings continue to grow. 1 profitable quarter doesn't make a trend. But 2 will and I think we could see some good movement then.

Were in from .50 on the stockdoubling project so unless the wheels fall off for some reason I don't see much downside on that price. Based on what the company is saying in their news releases revenues and orders they foresee growing nicely over the next while.

August 15th or so should be interesting for the stock. I can't wait to see what happens.

I won't be available tomorrow. (Unless something big happens I won't update the blog.)

Have a great weekend
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS NEWS update and earnings?

2007-07-23T09:24:00.000-04:00

Friday had some great news with DFNS.

They announced a new order for $1.5 million for Israel Defense. Which will be delivered in the 3rd quarter and 4th quarter of this year.

This is on top of the $4 million in orders the military ordered back in Jan. and $2.2 million ordered in Feb.

Based on the #'s that I see on the press releases they have the following...

$4 million
$2.2 million (with possible 20% over that or additional $400k)
$1.5 million
----------------
$7.7 million in Israel Defense Ministry orders (That have been released via a press release, their could be smaller orders that weren't released I don't know.)

The $4 million order was suppose to be delivered by April according to the Jan. press release.
The $2.2 million order was suppose to be delivered by July according to the Feb press release.
The $1.5 million order is suppose to be delivered in the 3rd and 4th quarter (July-Dec) according to Friday's release.

So far we only have the #'s for Q1 and looking over those #'s the Local military which I assume is the Israel Defense ministry the revenue was only $1.5 million!!
They were suppose to have $6.2-$6.6 million delivered by July. Now the Israel Defense ministry may push that back etc.. But if they are continuing to order I would think they are needing more and more. Which leads me to believe that a good chunk of it was delivered in Q2.

I don't think the Local Military will be $5 million for the quarter in revenue. But I could see it being $3 million million. WHICH WOULD BE HUGE!!

The local military last quarter was the most profitable with the highest margins around 21% according to my calucations. If DFNS did $3 million for Q2 in just Local military that would mean roughly $650,000 in pretax income. Which is like .02 EPS by itself!

Local civilian tends to run in the $700-$900K per quarter range and has a small profit.
Based on Feb and April press releases they had the bus orders which were to be delivered in April and June which is Q2 + military export totaling $1.3 million.

On top of that they have some backlog to run through.

These are all guesses of course on my part but I could forsee a $5.5-$6.5 million Q2 revenue with a range on EPS of .01-.03 EPS. (They only did $1.8 million in revenue Q2 last year.)

Of course they could push stuff back to the Q3 which would be disappointing but possible.

With such a small company a $1 million can be a HUGE difference either way.

I think if the company delivered the products as the contracts orginally stated and the company turned a decent profit I think we will be looking at a nice quarter. I am looking for a big jump in revenues from Q1. Hopefully we will see it.

DFNS had its 2nd largest volume day on Friday which is good to see. It was up a good amount and closed up as well. (The largest volume day so far this year was Q1 release day)

August 15th is the big day.

Thank you for all those who emailed me about the new project I am thinking about. (You can find it on Friday's Blog) The response was positive and I will probably move towards that in the coming weeks.

Have a great day.
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

DFNS NEWS

2007-07-20T12:00:00.001-04:00

Nice another News release from DFNS today about $1.5 million more in NEW ORDERS. Which will be delivered in the 3rd and 4th quarter of this year!!!

Too put that into prespective that is about 15% in that one order what they did ALL of last year!!!

They should do 60-100% increase in revenues for the year and could earn as much as .10 EPS for the year.

Great News hopefully get a nice bump in the stock price. Looks like a decent move in the last 20 minutes already and NICE VOLUME!!

Have a great weekend.

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

New Project for US?

2007-07-20T11:16:00.000-04:00

I am considering a website that be a membership only site about trading stocks.

Basically I would find 3 stocks a month to trade.

(COMPLETELY SEPARATE FROM STOCKDOUBLING.COM THE STOCKDOUBLING PROJECT WOULD NOT CHANGE!!!!

These stocks would be stocks that I feel could return 10-50% return in 1-3 months. If you have followed the stockdoubling project for any amount of time you probably have noticed the increase in value of the stocks I have picked (even the OTHER stocks).

So rather than wait for 4 months or a year for a stock to double you could also TRADE some stocks for quick gains.
Again these wouldn't be the same picks as the StockDoubling project and I wouldn't recommend using the same money for both. You should have 2 different accounts or at least know that one is for trading and one is for the stockdoubling project.

The membership site would cost roughly $25 a month and like I said would probably give 3 new stocks a month that I am looking for gains.

It could be a fun way to make some money off the stock market while we wait for the StockDoubling project to hit.

Let me know if you would have an interest. (Not committing to anything just wonder if the interest is there.)

FYI nothing from DFNS IR as of yet. I will send them another email on Monday if I don't hear from them by then.

Either post a comment on the blog on your thoughts on the membership site or send me an email to alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Have a great weekend
Thank you
Steve Hoven

Not much happening

2007-07-19T07:09:00.000-04:00

I haven't heard back from IR at DFNS yet. Why IR has to forward my questions to the company I am not sure. I thought it was the IR's job to know the answers and handle that type of stuff that is why they get paid I thought.

Anyway still nothing from them maybe I will get it by the time Q2 earnings are released I don't know.

I have been under the weather and just drained the last couple of days. WAY too much on my plate right now and I seem to add more to it.

I took the night off yesterday and relaxed last night and feel some what better this morning. I am taking the day off today as well and going to a fair with my family. So have a good day and if I hear anything I will update the blog.

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Review of the 5 stocks!

2007-07-16T19:37:00.001-04:00

No volume today on DFNS.

Since it was a quiet day lets review the 5 stocks that we selected back on April 9th 2007. You can read the original information on these stocks in the April 9th edition of the blog.

DFNS .(50) currently .61 up 22% so far. This was the pick for the StockDoubling project. I have gone into great details about this stock and won't rehash it all. It is still my only holding that I have. I am waiting for information on my questions from the company yet. And August 15th is the big day.

THE OTHER 4 STOCKS....

GLDS (.275) currently .33 up 20% so far. This stock has recently changed the name of the stock and the symbol which is now AIRI I haven't followed the company that closely. They are finishing up a great deal of acquisitions and their sales will be UP dramatically. They have a great deal of stock outstanding though and will probably have a bunch more with the added expenses etc.. They did say they would be profitable but how many shares will be out there will be key. I wouldn't be surprised to see a reverse split on the stock this year either. (which are usually not good) But it would bring the # of shares down and the price up at least temporary. Its a hard stock to gauge at this point. (smells too much like ATSX as far as issuing stock etc..so I am hesitant.)

AYSI (.67) currently .41 down 39% so far. This stock has been the disappointment of the group. It has had a HUGE run this year though. The company had disappointing Q2 earnings which rocked the stock. I don't think they will come close to my April 9th earnings estimates I had but they could still earn a good amount this year. They are growing revenues quickly and the top 2 guys in the company own 73% of the stock so the float isn't much. The .40 area could hold for some support. If it doesn't I think .30 will. Its a higher risk stock just because its so small. But if they produce a good Q3 this stock should get back to the .60's+.

TSSW (.76) currently $1.80 up 137% so far. This stock has been the winner of the group so far. They are also a small company but growing rapidly. They are earning money and people are loving this stock again. I think it is a little pricey at these levels but the company seems to be running full steam ahead so we will see where it goes.

CAGC ($2.90) currently $3.70 up 27% so far. This stock I have talked about a lot recently so you can review those posts. Basically the company is profitable and growing at a good rate. Has some good potential going forward to be a nice stock. Not a ton of downside but not a double I don't think within 6 months either. Decent risk/reward for a longer term holder 12-18+ months.

If you put $100 in each stock based on the posting price on April 9th you would have invested $500. Based on today's closing price your $500 would now be worth $667 or a 33% return for just over 3 months! And I think if you check back 3 months from now most of those stocks should be higher.

Have a great day
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

StockDoubling Project is ALIVE!

2007-07-13T13:57:00.000-04:00

Well, I am back.

StockDoubling.com project isn't dead I guess at least not yet anyway.

The procedure went fine. (They put a camera down my throat to look at my stomach and stretched my throat out, I was having trouble getting certain foods down sometimes.)

Thank you for thoughts and prayers about it.

I was out of it a bit and don't remember a lot about it right after etc..

But I do remember that I am in DFNS and I still think it is a great stock to own. I did hear from the IR (Investor relations) at DFNS basically they are forwarding the questions I had to the company and will get back with me shortly. Since its the weekend now in the mid east I would expect hopefully to hear something back the first part of next week.

I will let you know if I find out anything of value from the answers.

We have to remember that when the StockDoubling project was started that the goal was for 1 winning stock in a YEAR! Well we were at Level 3 after just 14 months. So things went fast. Which may have spoiled us a bit but remember what the goal was. 1 stock to double in a year.
It has only been 3 months for DFNS so far and we are up roughly 20% from the .50 original purchase price. So we do have a little cushion.

The first 2 stocks I picked (GNBT, and PSIT) both took 4 months in order to double. And that is right around August 15th for DFNS. And I think we could really get a good move in the stock on that news assuming of course it is good news.

Time will tell, you need to ALWAYS evaluate stocks yourself don't just take my word for it. Not every stock I pick will be right for everyone. See if it fits what you are looking for and evaluate it yourself as well.

IT'S YOUR MONEY. NO ONE WILL CARE FOR YOUR MONEY MORE THAN YOU WILL.

Have a GREAT weekend.
Thank you
Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net