Monday, April 6, 2009

DFNS 10k report

DFNS came out with there earnings last week. And they weren't late! Which was a surprise!

Here is the link to view the 10k

http://yahoo.brand.edgar-online.com/displayfilinginfo.aspx?FilingID=6516523-914-325248&type=sect&TabIndex=2&companyid=74601&ppu=%252fdefault.aspx%253fcik%253d1069563

sales for Q4 were very good. They did $18+ million for the year which isn't much less then they did all last year.

They announced a new night vision product partnership which seems interesting. They of course did the buy out of company they co-owned at the end of the year and bought back 1 million shares of stock.

So now there is about 28 million shares outstanding. Of which the CEO owns about 19 million shares. He is 62 and maybe will want to retire in the future. Maybe a buyout possible in the next couple of years?

They still have a good amount of cash and a nice backlog of orders.

The problems are a couple fold.....
1. They are earning money but not much about .02 eps for the year (not including one time payments) Well at 10x PE that is .20 stock which is about where we are now. Even if they double it for 2009 not saying they will but if they did that is still a .40 stock which isn't bad return but that is if all things go right.

2. They have a $2.6 million lawsuit against them. Now they may win the lawsuit so they won't have to pay out the money. (If they lost it that is a MASSIVE hit to there cash) But even if they don't lose they will be paying some legal fees for fighting the lawsuit which is going to eat into profits that are already small.


The float is small (a few million shares) So if the stock rallied for any reason over.30 I would consider selling. I sold my stock that I bought a month ago at .18 and sold it at .21 last week for a 16% profit. The only stock I currently own of DFNS is for the stock doubling project.

I think at this point DFNS is more of a trading stock then a buy and hold stock. If DFNS came back to the mid teens or low teens I would consider purchasing. For a rally to low .20's. If DFNS gets above .30+ I will consider selling DFNS for the stock doubling project and moving on with a new stock.

Have a great day
Steve

P.S if interested in a great trading system check out http://www.tradelikethis.com/

Friday, March 13, 2009

DFNS news and TATTF

TATTF came out with a bunch of news lately.
1. Buying back some of there stock great news.
2. Came out with earnings which were ok.
3. Came out with book value and cash which is amazing!!
4. Came out with a dividend announcement which is like getting 10%+ return on your money in a couple of weeks! Very nice return.

I bought a couple of weeks ago at $4.30’s. It came down but its still a great buy under $5 if you are willing to hold it for a while.

I just bought DFNS this morning at .18 (5000 shares) they will be coming out with earnings at the end of the month more than likely not sure how good they will be but looking forward to what they say for the future.

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

DFNS NEWS AND OTHER STUFF

I sold out of all my DFNS that ISN'T AFFILIATED with the StockDoubling project. So I still own 8000 shares of DFNS but I don't own additional shares. I had purchased DFNS in the .155-.19 range over the last couple of months.

I sold all that stock in the .20-.25 range over the last couple weeks. It was too good of profits to turn down. Some of it was 30% return in a month or two. I still like DFNS and will hold the orginal position. I don't think it will get to .50 any time soon but I would LOVE to see it back in the teens again so I could load up on it. Currently .22-.26 per share.

They came out with some great news over the last month. From a buyback and now they have bought out a minority interest in a company they had majority interest in. And they seemed to pay a fair amount for it. They also bought back 1 million shares as part of that deal which a 3% outstanding shares. (About 10% of the float if you assume the CEO won't sell his shares)

I may not be able to get back in the teens but trading DFNS has been pretty good for me. The orginal buy of course hasn't. When I get out of this position I don't know.

With Israel at war with Hamas right now (cease fire) how that effected DFNS I don't know. You would think sales would be strong of course the issue is did they sell there products at a profit. They seem to be using the $$$ they got from the gov't in a good way. I think if they can continue to make money even if its a couple cents per year I think these prices could double over the next couple of years. Downside is limited but do you want to wait it out that is the deal of course.

IF DFNS comes down to the teens I will buy more. If it goes to the .40's I would probably consider selling my StockDoubling pick stock.

On to other stocks I have talked about.
ITRA got bought out at $4 so that was a nice return for those of your who purchased in the $3's. I made a couple % on the stock. I didn't hold until the end though.

TATTF is another ISRAEL stock that I really like. They have a good amount of cash and still make some good money. They also own a great deal of LIMC and the company is buying back stock. I think eventually it will probably go private but that is just opionon.
I own the stock from a higher price. I will buy more for a trade if it gets back into the mid $4's. Right now its around $5.

If you haven't checked out the videos at

www.Videos4Traders.com yet you really need to I love the Market Wizards Insights one its great and you should check it out. Its FREE!

HAVE A GREAT WEEK.
Steve

Friday, December 5, 2008

DFNS AND TATTF NEWS

Long time no talk.

DFNS came out with their Q3 earnings in Mid Nov. The sales #'s were good though the earnings not as good as I would like to see. Though still profitable overall.

The company has about $8 million in cash and trading securities/bank deposit. Which is about .27 per share. The company is currently trading at .16-.19 per share. The book value is around .44

The company also announced a buyback of the stock up to $450,000. It doesn't mean they will buy back any stock but at least they announced it. IF they did buy back $450,000 worth of shares at an average price of .25 that would be 1.8 million shares they take out of the public. Which is about 6% of the total outstanding shares. However there is only about 10 million shares that aren't owned by insiders so that would really be taking out close to 18% of the public float.
Hopefully they start the buyback soon at these levels.

With the economy and the stock market the way they are things could go down more. However for a person willing to hold I think buying on at these prices are a steal at some point down the road. Its like going to the bank and depositing $1 and the bank giving you $1.40 or so into your account. You can't cash it out yet but its sitting there. Same thing with DFNS they have a lot of cash on hand and a profitable business and you can buy the shares for LESS then the amount of money they have in the bank.

We may have tax loss selling going into the end of the year as tends to happen with DFNS and DFNS tends to have a good Jan. You can look at the chart and see the pattern over the last few years.

NO I don't think DFNS will get to .50 anytime soon. But for 2009 I think we will go up a bunch from these current prices.

On to TATTF another stock I own.

They are buying back stock as well very slowly though. TATTF is down in the low/mid $4's they came out with earnings in NOV. which were less than I had hoped for sure however they have a book value over $10 per share and a good amount of cash. They have already earned .50+ EPS for the first 9 months so they are good deal as well.

With the markets both of these stocks I don't expect them to TAKE OFF. However if you are a long term holder these companies both have PROFITABLE business, lots of cash, are selling at a discount. So we will see they go up in price in the future I feel. When I don't know.


On a final note.
If you are interested in Forex trading. You need to check out Fap Turbo
I am doing a review site of the product and it is going pretty well. You can check out the review site at Fap Turbo

Thursday, October 30, 2008

DFNS NEWS IS GREAT!

Wow they really listened!!

DFNS came out with a buyback! YES YES YES! Wish it was a little bigger but hey I will take it.

http://biz.yahoo.com/bw/081030/20081030005833.html

$450k buyback if they got all the shares at .30 that is 1.5 million shares bought back.

I don't think they will buy them all back. But I think the bottom is now in. Even if the company comes out with a bad quarter with the buyback in place that is potential 1.5-2 million shares being bought back at lower prices.

Glad I was able to pick some up at .18!

Hopefully that is a good sign for Q3 #'s as well. Q3 earnings should be out by Nov. 14th!

enjoy!

Steve

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Lots of Updates.....

Its been a while since I had a stock update. I have been busy with the beforeitmoves project.

A few updates.....

1. I bought some additional TATTF on October 10th for a swing trade. (Meaning I didn't want to hold it long just looking for quick gain.) I bought at $4.90 on a Friday. And Sold it on Monday October 13th for $6! A 22% profit in about 3 hours of trading. (I held it over the weekend. But bought it just before the close on Friday and sold it Monday morning) If you were on my Beforeitmoves.com yahoo list you could have made that as well. One member did better then me he made 29% on that trade.
I still hold some TATTF at a higher price and still feel it is undervalued. However with current market conditions their is always risk.

2. I also bought additional shares of DFNS (which is our stockdoubling project pick currently) These shares that I bought are NOT for the project but strictly for my own account. I bought the additional shares on October 10 and 13th for .18 per share. My goal with these shares is to sell them at a 30-60% profit once the Q3 earnings come out which will be by Nov. 15th more than likely. So these shares aren't for long term holding but for a month or so. Hopefully Q3 will be an earning surprise and the stock will move higher. I still hold the shares for the stockdoubling project in DFNS 8000 shares and am not sure when I will get out of those yet.

3. Another interesting stock I thought I would let you know about is ITRA. It recently announced it was being bought out for $4 per share. However as of yesterday you could still buy the stock for about $3.70 per share. The $4 share price will close in Dec/Jan. But if you could buy at $3.70 and get the buyout at $4. That is a .30 per share gain. Which is 8% return in about 3 months or over 30% annualized return. Not a bad return at all better than putting your money in CD's at 3%. Just a thought. Of course the shareholders could turn down the buyout offer (Not likely) but the company has a decent business it would recover some if that did happen. I DO NOT OWN THAT STOCK. AND DON'T RECOMMEND IT. IF YOU DO BUY IT MAKE SURE YOU CAN STAY IN IT FOR THE ENTIRE PROCESS 2-3 MONTHS!

4. I have been doing a lot of research for the StockDoubling Project #2 pick. Which will ONLY be sent to those MEMBERS of BeforeItMoves.com I have narrowed the stocks down from 600+ stocks I orginally looked at to 10 currently. I will continue to research and knock out stocks in the coming days. However I may want to jump on this one soon in case it is ready to really move higher.
So if you aren't a member of BeforeitMoves.com get the 5 day trial today and get setup before we start we this pick.

I wish you ever success in trading.
Steve Hoven
New email address steve @ stockdoubling.com (take away the spaces)

Wednesday, October 15, 2008

BeforeItMoves is back!

BeforeItMoves is Back!

We are back on the market via clickbank.

http://www.BeforeItMoves.com Just $4.95 for the first 5 days and get complete access to ALL our content.

19 videos teaching you how to find stocks that are ready to move.

One client made 30% within 3 trading hours with our information! Which paid for the year in 1 trade.

I show you how you can open an account for as little as $100 and start trading!

And the big news is our StockDoubling Project # 2 pick is just around the corner.I will be releasing this pick to beforeitmoves members ONLY between October 24th-31st.

My first pick for the StockDoubling Project # 1. Doubled in price in 4 months!

http://www.BeforeItMoves.com

I will be limiting the membership and not sure how long this offer will be available. So if you are interested their is still time to get your account open prior to the StockDoubling Project # 2 pick!

Have a great trading day

See you inside

Steve Hoven

http://www.BeforeItMoves.com

Thursday, October 9, 2008

BeforeItMoves Stock Trading System

I am releasing the updated version of the BeforeitMoves Stock Trading System.

It is FREE and 19 videos over 3 hours in total length.

You can get it FREE when you join the monthly $20 a month program.

You will get the StockDoubling Project # 2 pick late in October along with all the "Other Picks" and additional picks from me.

You get a FREE 5 day trial to test it out.

Only for a limited time at

http://www.BeforeItMoves.com

Have a profitable day
Steve

Wednesday, October 8, 2008

Danger Most Traders Make

Watch this 11 minute video and see the problem most traders make.



Talk to you tomorrow with some BIG NEWS!

Tuesday, October 7, 2008

Turn $500 into $1 million faster than you think.

Turn $500 into $1 million faster than you think.



Talk to you tomorrow.

Steve

Saturday, October 4, 2008

Companies with Cash

I will be releasing my Before It Moves package on Thursday At 10am. It will be 19 videos in all just over 3 total hours of videos on how I find stocks for the stock doubling project and my personal account. You won't want to miss it.
This will also be the ONLY place to get my picks for the StockDoubling # 2 project. Which first pick will happen in late October 2008.

Between now and Thursday though I want to give you some free content to help you in your trading.

This first video deals with finding companies that have a good cash position. With the credit issues currently going on. (banks not willing to lend as they once did etc..)
It may be wise to find companies/stocks that have a good amount of cash on their books. They can self fund themselves for a while and continue to grow thru spending their own money. They won't need to borrow or issues shares (diluting the stock).

In this follow 7 minute video I show you a good way to find those type of stocks and do that quick research.



You can also sign up for our Early Bird list. And get special announcements on the Launch of the program plus be first in line.
And the best part the program will cost you NOTHING up front!





Have a great weekend
Steve

P.S Feel free to leave any comments on the blog.

Wednesday, September 24, 2008

TATTF Marketclub BUY signal

Here is a video to check out.

ON TATTF which is a stock I own. (Not for the project but just in general) I have spoke on it a few times. My average entry was $7.13 back in Mid June. Anyway Marketclub just went long via their trade triangles on it. Which means one of 2 things. We are at the beginning of a BIG run up. Or within 2-3 weeks it will get knocked out quickly with a loss.

Marketclub tends to either win BIG. Or lose QUICK. So keep an eye on TATTF if it goes to $9+ we should see a nice run continue. If it just sticks in the low $8's and $7's it is a false breakout. Some nice things though it has moved up nicely in the last month even though the markets overall have been down. The company is also buying back a bunch of shares of their own stock as they feel its undervalued. They do have a decent amount of cash so as far dealing with the credit issues they shouldn't have a problem funding themselves.

I will probably watch it for these next couple weeks see what happens. My entry was $7.13 so I have some wiggle room at these current prices (over $8). I think $10 is a closer to fair price for the stock.

Here is the video on tattf and my thoughts......




Also Scottrade is currently offering a special if you open an account with them. ($500 minimum) they will give you 7 FREE trades. That is $49 value. (normally they give you 3) This offer is good thru the end of OCTOBER.
To get the offer sign up at www.Scottrade.com and use the referral code SVZP9077

And finally I will be releasing my project within 2 weeks Lord Willing. It will be roughly 20 videos and content of what/how I find stocks to buy for the stockdoubling project and for my own trading. And the videos will be FREE!! I will post more on it in the near future.

Have a great trading day
Steve

Monday, September 8, 2008

TATTF News

TATTF a stock I own. (Not for the stockdoubling project) came out with news today.

http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/080908/ny32360.html?.v=1

They authorized a buyback of shares of about $7 million which is about 1 million shares based on these current prices.
The stock closed up 8% today to $6.88.

It has come up nicely after bottoming a couple months ago. My entry was above $7 so I am still underwater but this is some nice news.

I don't think they will buy back that many shares but the company is at least showing some interest in the stockholders by saying the share price is undervalued.

I WISH DFNS WOULD SAY THEY ARE BUYING BACK STOCK IT WOULD SHOW THAT THEY FEEL THEIR STOCK IS UNDERVALUED.

Anyway I think TATTF is still a $8-$10 stock somewhere down the road. They are making money and with their investment in the new company they seem to be making some money as well.

I think it can run higher than $10 it is a company with only 6.6 million shares. Just depends on the buyers/sellers. But as far as risk I think they should do at least .80 for the year and at 10x PE that is a $8 stock not including any cash they have etc...

I should have some BIG news coming later this month!!

Have a great day
Steve

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

DFNS AND TATTF REPORTS

DFNS came out with their 10Q report on friday...

A few things.....

1. It looks like they lost some of the backlog orders with the Israel Defense Ministry which is bad news. They did get an additional $1.6 million order it looks like though.

2. They said that the IDM orders should remain steady so I would figure $1.2-$1.6 million each quarter for the next couple quarters.

3. Local civilian and Export Military were both up a good deal which helped.

4. They aren't making money on their existing business. The reason they had a profit was due to a payment from the Israel gov't for leaving a couple years back.

5. in 2006 and prior basically this was a company that did $10 million a year and EPS was anywhere from (.03) to .01. Are we going back to that type of stock and was 2007 just a fluke?

6. 2008 will be more than $10 million but FAR less than last years $19 million. Probably in the $14+ million range I would guess.

7. I don't understand why they would take a $250k loan when they got the cash. I know the cash didn't come until later but $250k shouldn't need that and then they got another one they didn't utlize. And why post a NT 10Q and than a few hours later post the 10Q?

8. Personally I think its run like a mom and pop type deal. The CEO owns most of the shares so he controls everything and don't really care that much about the other 30% or so. If they did why not announce the $1.6 million IDM order?

9. Its a nice book value but they aren't doing enough to MAKE $$$ and not telling their story to anyone to get the share price up.

10. "Since January 2008, we have experienced an increased demand for armored vehicles, from central and south African countries. We believe that the armor car business is growing and will become even more significant for us by the end of 2008. The armor car business is characterized by higher gross margins than our traditional military products. " (PAGE 13)
So Maybe that will mean a couple million in revenue from that this year.

11. an $1.7 million increase in inventories in order to support future sales, new product lines and also reflects the production of a significant amount of finished and semi finished products that were delivered at the beginning of the third quarter," (PAGE 18)
So maybe we will get an UPWARD suprise for Q3?

DFNS didn't trade much on Monday. From this report I don't see any RUSH to buy the stock at these levels. I think it could pop to the .40's but ONLY if they announce some news. And the company don't seem to want to do much of that.
It could fade to the lower .20's and maybe even teens I don't know. At these point they have still lost .01 for the year based on continued operations and their margins haven't improved so I don't know that they will breakeven or earn a penny or two for the year but not much more.

Part of me wants to just dump it and be done with it. If the book value wasn't in the low .40's I probably would. But since the book is over .40 I am not going to dump it in the low .20's. They also have a decent amount of cash for a company this size just depends on what they do with it.

Its always up to you what you want to do with it. At this point I am staying with it, disappointed yes but going to stick it out for a while yet.

Next earnings release won't be until mid November. So unless the company comes out with additional news you won't hear from them for about 3 months.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TATTF came out with their report as well.

They don't have a 10Q I guess cause they are an Israel company so they only come out with revenue earnings etc..
They made a little more revenue but not as much profit.
Still they have .44 for the year so far and I think .80 isn't out of the question.
At 10x P/E its an $8 stock.

I wish they put in their stockholder equity as I think its close to $10 but I am not sure.

TATTF went up after the intital report and went down Monday. I think its a $8-$10 stock in the next few months.

Steve

Friday, August 15, 2008

DFNS NEWS

DFNS is delaying their 10Q.
But they did report they did $4,477,086 in revenue

And $195,000 in net income.

The one thing that worries me a little is.... Does that $195k INCLUDE
any payments from the Israel gov't for moving their operations out of
gaza strip. If this is included than OUCH.

If not and those #'s are only based on continued operations than we are
at breakeven earnings for the year.

Not a great quarter by any means on earnings side. .01 is a little
misleading as it is really about .0067 EPS they just round it up to
.01.

book value may have gone up a little bit but it is all about the
earnings. I will be waiting to see the 10Q which will probably come in
a week or two.

Hopefully they talk about future prospects though.

Otherwise will probably end up in the $14-$15 million revenue for the
year and maybe .01-.02 EPS for the year. Which on a PE ratio trading in
the .20's is fairly valued. Especially for a company whos revenue is
falling. I understand they got the book value but lack of talking with
investors doesn't get investors excited at all either.

I still would love to see a buyback especially at these levels. They
could pick up 10% of the outstanding shares and about 30% of the float
for less than $1 million. And they would still have plenty of money to
play with.

Its a trading range bound stock until....

Company talks to its investors,
buyback,
or big order news comes out.

I am holding for right now.
Steve

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

DFNS AND TATTF UPDATES

Updates on the 2 stocks I own.

First on DFNS.

Nothing new on it. Still in the upper .20's and light volume.

They are due to report Q2 earnings on the 15th which is Friday. I would imagine though they will be late and not report until Monday (or later) of Next week.

Its hard to say what the #'s will be DFNS doesn't like to give out much information so its hard to say. Hopefully the margins improved though and we will see some profits again. I would LOVE to see .02 EPS for the quarter. But I am not sure that we will see that. Whatever the company does, what will move the stock is what the company has to SAY about about performance. If they don't say anything then we may just be treading water for a while.

The book value is still in the low .40's and they still should do $14-$15 million for the year I think. The company has a current market cap of under $8 million so its a good deal at these levels I think. Just have to have some patience with this stock. Which I am kind of running out of especially at the levels I bought at. Those getting in at these levels for the first time though I think will make out pretty well. Unless the company makes some MAJOR blunders.

So we will wait until Q2 earnings come out and hope for the best.

The other stock I am in is TATTF. (not for the stockdoubling project)
I have an average position in the low $7's I believe it is. And bought it about 2 months ago.
You can read all the stats I did on it on the previous blog entries.
But it fell to the low to mid $5 range in July but in the last couple of weeks has moved back up a little bit and as of this writing is trading at $6.20 per share.

They own 8.1 million shares of LIMC which should report earnings by the 15th of August. So if the earnings are good from LIMC that stock should move and so should TATTF.
TATTF is also due to report their own earnings on August 15th that being a friday they each may wait until after the bell on Friday I am not sure.

TATTF earnings will be off last years I am pretty sure but TATTF is just a value play.
They have a marketcap of about $41 million. However their investment in LIMC by itself is worth about $38 million. So the markets are only valuing TATTF assets, cash, other businesses at $3 million which crazy.
TATTF should be trading at $8-$10 per share right now easy I think and eventually I think the market will prove that out assuming my #s are right and the company doesn't crumble.

I will update you when they come out with their earnings.

Have a great day
Steve Hoven

Monday, July 21, 2008

StockDoubling Stock UPDATE!

I wanted to update on the StockDoubling project.

First on DFNS.OB yes I still own it. Currently the bid/ask is .26 by .29

Which puts the company value under $8.5 million marketcap. I am not going to beat a dead horse you can read my thoughts on the #'s etc.. In previous posts nothing has changed as far as that goes over the last month or two.

Next scheduled news is August 15th which is when the Q2 report is due. HOPEFULLY, they report it before then. They had their biggest sales quarter in Q2 of last year so I am not expecting them to do better than last year. What I am hoping to is some PROFITS! If it losses money again for Q2 then I think the stock could slide a little more. I would love to see a couple cents profit but I don't know if they can get that or not.

They have a decent amount of cash if they do well with the cash they can hopefully get the share price moving higher. But the share price WILL move higher if they EARN $$$. If they can't earn money it will continue to bounce around the .20's to .30's. If they earned a couple cents for the quarter and said things look great going forward then we could get some momentum in the stock.

If they have expenses under control and can earn a profit the worst is probably over. It would have very limited downside. If they can't get margins under control and can't turn a profit then the lows may not be set in. Risk/reward at these levels is pretty good reward for the risk I feel. When it turns I don't know though something has to come out from the company. Such as New orders or buying a company or something.

Last week had some 10k share blocks trade which was nice to see though it did little to the share price. We will have to wait and see until August 15th I guess.

The other stock I own is TATTF it isn't for the stockdoubling project but you can read more about it in previous posts.

It seems to have stablized in the near term at least. And it up a little bit from its lows. I am in at higher prices but I still feel that TATTF is extremely undervalued. Their investment in LIMC is worth $38 million by itself. TATTF marketcap (its own value is only worth $38 million right now) So the millions in cash TATTF has and the other company they own a majority stake in, and their own $20 million a year business is valued at ZERO according to the market.
Its true value will eventually come out I think and I feel $10 isn't out of the question over the next few months. They will need to report earnings along with LIMC by August 15th.

Lastly their is a penny stock that just went long via Marketclub trade triangles I have a video about it at

http://www.tradelikethis.wordpress.com

if you want to check it out.

Have a good day
Steve

Saturday, July 12, 2008

Free Gift this weekend

Here is a FREE Gift for you this weekend!

4 trading videos from

http://www.Videos4Traders.com


You can watch this 5 minute video on Youtube of exactly what you get. But it is over 3 hours in trading videos from traders who have traded and have been successful for years.

Topics such as .....

* Classic Indicators
* Avoid Trading Pitfalls
* I am a Turtle
* Exit Strategies





Their is the youtube video of how to sign up.

Or if you are ready to sign up just go to ...

http://www.Videos4Traders.com

have a great weekend.
Steve

Friday, June 27, 2008

DFNS AND TATTF NEWS

I wanted to update for the weekend on the 2 stocks I own.

Both stocks are based in Israel. So unless Israel is destroyed by IRAN or something I think what I am about to say is valid.

DFNS which is the stock for the StockDoubling project has a bid and ask as of this writing of .26 bid (what you sell it for) and .27 ask (what you buy it for) Actually a few minutes ago the ask was at .26 as well.

Back in Dec 2007 DFNS hit a low of .24. And prior to that it hit a low of .22 back in June 2006. So over the last 2 years .22 is the low for the stock and it isn't like it stayed down that low it usually was a quick stop in the low .20's before moving to the higher .20's and .30's.

So are we going to bounce off the bottom again? I don't know that for sure but looking at the charts and fundmentals of the stock I can't see it fall much further and the risk/reward is tremendous at these levels.

Why these levels are attractive for DFNS....

1. You have good support here in the .20's
2. 29 million shares of DFNS x .27 makes a $7.5 million marketcap they have $5 million in cash! Means you are buying the company for basically $2.5 million for a company that will do $15+ million in revenue for the year!
3. If their is additional fighting with IRAN or other countries. The military spending should increase and DFNS would benefit from that.
4. It has a book value of .43
5. I think at these levels even if it gets back to .35 that is a 29% return so it is a good TRADING stock now as well.
6. They will have twice as much revenue this year as they are currently worth in market cap.

I just think its a SCREAMING BUY at these levels.

Unless the company makes MAJOR blunders on how to spend their cash or Israel goes to full out war with IRAN and is bombed heavily or something I just don't see much other downside to the stock at these point.

I had talked previously when it was in the mid .30's that I see a trading range for the stock from the high .20's to the low .40's. Well we are at the lows so that is the time to buy some I think.

IF YOU DON'T OWN DFNS I WOULD SUGGEST YOU DOING YOUR OWN RESEARCH AND CONSIDER IT!
The downside is limited I think for those purchasing in the mid/upper .20's.

The second stock I own is TATTF which is also an ISRAEL stock.
THIS IS NOT A STOCKDOUBLING PICK! Just another stock that I feel can move and is undervalued.

I actually purchased this stock a few different times but my average price is $7.13. As of today it is trading at $5.60. So I am down on this one as well. However the value I think is there for a $10 stock. I will touch on some of the highlights but do your own research.

TATTF has 6.6 million shares outstanding x $5.60 that is $37 million market cap.
TATTF owns 8.1 MILLION shares of LIMC (62% of that company) LIMC is currently trading for $4.31 per share. Lets assume its only worth $4 per share to make it easy. $4 x 8.1 million shares = $32 million is what TATTF investment in LIMC is worth.

So that means taking out LIMC investment out of TATTF. TATTF is valued at only $5 million or so.

TATTF also has recently purchased another company (private) for some cash and owns a big chunk in that.
TATTF I believe has roughly $5-$10 million in cash. (hard to tell with an Israel company and their reporting)
let's assume its just $5 million. That means from the cash in the bank and LIMC investment TATTF by itself is worth $0!
So their investment into this new company is worth $0. The $20 million or so in revenue they do by themselves each year is worth $0!

Which is of course CRAZY!

TATTF earned .23 EPS for the Q1 of this year. If they do that each quarter that would be .92 EPS for the year. At 12x P/E ratio that is $11 stock

TATTF is near 3 year lows on the stock price.

I think it offers good risk/reward for investors. The company even authorized $5 million to buy back stock which needs to be done by the end of July. Doesn't mean they will buy it all back but its a good plus.

Have a great weekend

Steve Hoven
alleycatnews@alleycatnews.net

Check out
www.WatchTheTrend.com
and
www.Videos4traders.com

Monday, June 23, 2008

Israel stocks going lower?

You can buy DFNS for .30 right now. YIKES.

Its not bad long term I don't think at these levels.

The risk though is.....

Does israel bomb Iran?

What is IRAN reaction?

Is Israel still around or can they function with a wide spread war?

Some reasons why the stock may be headed lower.

Actually I own another ISRAEL stock TATTF which is also going lower on light volume.

If a war starts with iran and israel. The civilian sales for DFNS will expand but will the profit margins? And if it wide scale can DFNS operate with bombings etc..

Not saying that will happen. But israel won't let Iran have Nukes and IRAN isn't going to like getting bombed. US would step in I am sure as well. Than do we have another big war? Oil continues higher and does it become a major fight for that?

Not saying any of that will happen but some may be leaving the stock because of that.

Interesting stuff to think about at least.